StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)

4.7 1468 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 9
+3.27%
Last month
$ 81
+39.9%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 422
+48.36%
In a quarter
$ 294
+3.36%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
40 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
7 offers
from $ 284
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
6 offers
from $ 291
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 355
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 370
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 388
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
5 offers
from $ 413
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 421
Steam
Steam
9 offers
from $ 483
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
5 offers
from $ 585
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 1 000
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 284
  • 7 days low: $ 275
  • 7 days high: $ 1 000
  • 7 days price change: 3.27%
  • 30 days low: $ 203
  • 30 days high: $ 1 000
  • 30 days price change: 39.9%
  • 90 days low: $ 203
  • 90 days high: $ 1 000
  • Year low: $ 203
  • Year high: $ 88 645
  • All time low: $ 203
  • All time high: $ 88 645
  • All time max offers: 76
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 9
  • Sales for last 30 days: 29
  • Sales for last 90 days: 36
  • All time sales: 77
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.79
  • Volatility: 9.53%
  • Liquidity: 10.08%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 422
  • Price forecast change in a month: 48.36%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 294
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.36%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 498
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 474
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 480
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 451
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 491
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 299
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 498
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 490
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 468
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 474
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 503
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 488
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 487
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 480
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 480
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 477
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 451
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 452
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 491
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 299
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 282
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 411
Action
❌ Avoid
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
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170 offers on 8 markets
$ 130
77%
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66 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade was added to CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when it was released as a rare drop in the Danger Zone Case. The stunning fade pattern paired with the unique design of the Ursus made this skin one of the most popular and highly valued skins in the game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade can be obtained through unboxing either the Danger Zone Case or the Horizon Case containers in CS2. This is one of the most highly sought-after skins and belongs to no collections, hence making it very rare and valuable to find for collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) is one of the most demanded items. This skin has a popularity rating of 95%. Due to its outstanding popularity, it keeps a high price in the CS2 market, and due to its great demand, its daily sales volume is outstanding, which makes it one of the most popular items in this game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) is a part of the 391 different knife skins that feature in CS2. This knife belongs to the Covert rarity category and hence is super rare. It only has a drop probability of about 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) from StatTrak ★ in CS2 costs from $679.51 to $735.00. Yes, this knife is really expensive, but currently, there is an opportunity to easily get it on many markets for a person who's ready to invest in a CS2 skin. How popular it is is clearly shown by the number of 5.1K units of this "Fade" skin that are currently in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, making it possible to get this skin in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. Moreover, collectors can find a StatTrak variant for the Fade in each option of an exterior quality.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars based on over 1.3K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further endorsed by its ownership by renowned professional players like byali, twistzz, and frozen.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade Factory New sports a very attractive "Anodized Airbrushed" appearance, with an effect like a candy coat applied by hand using a freehand airbrushing method. This is greatly influenced by the pattern index, which sets up a hypnotic gradient of bright colors that smoothly merges into another.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 422 (48.36%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 294 (3.36%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class