StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

4.7 1422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 16
+3.19%
Last month
$ 322
+165%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 631
+23.48%
In a quarter
$ 472
-7.64%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
1% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
10 offers on 4 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 527
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 528
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 529
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 529
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 517
  • 24h price change: 2.99%
  • 7 days low: $ 501
  • 7 days high: $ 580
  • 7 days price change: 3.19%
  • 30 days low: $ 195
  • 30 days high: $ 1 429
  • 30 days price change: 165%
  • 90 days low: $ 39.75
  • 90 days high: $ 1 533
  • Year low: $ 39.75
  • Year high: $ 2 393
  • All time low: $ 39.75
  • All time high: $ 2 393
  • All time max offers: 21
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0154
  • Volatility: 17.59%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 631
  • Price forecast change in a month: 23.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 472
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -7.64%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 532
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 720
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 720
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 624
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -96.01
-13.33%
Result
👎 Fail
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 631
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 603
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 391
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 515
Action
✋ Hold
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 532
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 662
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 693
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 733
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 741
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 720
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 720
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 506
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 624
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 630
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 39.75
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 624
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -96.01
-13.33%
Result
👎 Fail
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 631
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 586
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 603
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 391
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 391
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 515
Action
✋ Hold
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -96.01
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 720
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
1%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Fade first dropped into the virtual world of CS2 on August 1st, 2018, and it has been a part of one of the Danger Zone Cases' rare drops since. This fade was one to amaze everybody, having this fancy pattern, while this exclusive design from Ursus made an instant hit among players.

Origin

Origin

This powerful skin, StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade, can be considered a splash of colors and is obtainable through a container opening-either a Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case-in CS2. Because it is so rare and incomparable, this wonder skin is not tagged in collections, making it truly in demand for both collectors and enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

Among the popular choices, The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) enjoys huge demand. This CS2 skin boasts an astounding popularity rate of 95%. Consequently, the highly sought knife and high price it sells at make this weapon one of the highest on demand inside the game-a fact echoed in the item's consistently soaring daily volume.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is a CS2 skin that belongs to 391 other available skins for Knives. This skin is ultra rare, Covert, which means it is one of the rarest drops, and its estimated drop chance is only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The SkinStatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is among the most popular skins in CS2, with an asking price ranging from $679.51 to $735.00. And while this knife does cost an arm and a leg, it still is highly available on many markets at this very moment, so easily accessible for any collector or enthusiast. That said, 5.1K units of the Fade are currently floating in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade lies between 0.00-0.08, which presents the possibility for players of receiving Factory New and Minimal Wear versions of the skin. In addition, it is possible to obtain both Factory New and Minimal Wear exterior variants of the Fade as StatTrak.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade within CS2 is really good, with an added rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars, with over 1.3K votes on addskins.gg. This is further reinforced with its ownership among professional CS2 players like byali, twistzz, and frozen.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) features an "Anodized Airbrushed" finish, which is a gunboi candy coat applied with freehand airbrush art. The pattern index affects how the Fade finish appears. As a result, this skin has a completely unique and mesmerizing visual effect.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 631 (23.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 472 (-7.64%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.07
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class