StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)

4.5 2754 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 6
+2.62%
Last month
$ 60
+34.29%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 361
+27.69%
In a quarter
$ 226
-20.06%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
87% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
53 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
8 offers
from $ 235
White.Market
White.Market
10 offers
from $ 284
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 292
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
8 offers
from $ 297
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 301
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 316
Skinport
Skinport
4 offers
from $ 379
Steam
Steam
10 offers
from $ 414
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 500
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 235
  • 7 days low: $ 229
  • 7 days high: $ 527
  • 7 days price change: 2.62%
  • 30 days low: $ 175
  • 30 days high: $ 2 190
  • 30 days price change: 34.29%
  • 90 days low: $ 175
  • 90 days high: $ 2 190
  • Year low: $ 175
  • Year high: $ 62 725
  • All time low: $ 175
  • All time high: $ 62 725
  • All time max offers: 86
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 22
  • Sales for last 30 days: 140
  • Sales for last 90 days: 188
  • All time sales: 390
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2991
  • Volatility: 22.34%
  • Liquidity: 11.79%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 361
  • Price forecast change in a month: 27.69%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 226
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -20.06%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 366
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 360
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 372
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 175
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 175
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 311
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 136
77.69%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 366
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 358
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 348
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 346
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 353
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 347
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 346
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 360
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 348
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 378
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 372
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 362
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 351
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 343
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 175
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 175
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 311
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 136
77.69%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 136
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 175
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 107
72%
From last month
97 offers on 9 markets
$ 105
52%
From last month
153 offers on 9 markets
$ 68.63
52%
From last month
201 offers on 10 markets
$ 130
77%
From last month
72 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade was added to CS2 on March 13th, 2019, and was highly awaited as part of the Prisma 2 Case. Immediately after its release, the mesmerizing marble fade pattern made this skin one of the most desired knife skins in the game.

Origin

Origin

Since this particular skin, the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New), can only be obtained by opening a container either from a Prisma 2 Case or a Prisma Case, this makes it really rare to get in CS2. This breathtakingly beautiful skin doesn't belong to any collection, which further adds to its exclusivity and increases its value among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

Such extreme popularity of StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is underlined by an incredible 95% within the CS2 community and presents a real catch for gamers. Such high demand is concluded from an impressive skin sales volume, coupled with a rather constant market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is a skin for the knife in CS2 and one of 391 unique skins that the game features. This knife originally belongs to the Covert category, making it extremely rare. It boasts a very low drop chance-0.26%, thus being highly wanted among both collectors and players.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 skin StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade Factory New is of a higher tier and is very expensive, ranging in the range of $450.78-$471.52. However, it is readily available now because it has more markets, and about 9.1K units of the Marble Fade exist in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float values for the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade from 0.00-0.08 allow players to get it in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. Secondly, for each exterior, there is a StatTrak variant available for Marble Fade collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) in CS2 is incredibly positive. Having a very large number of votes on addskins.gg, it has managed to get an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Besides, its popularity is further reinforced by ownership from professional players like boltz and xarte.

Finish style

Finish style

This Ursus Knife-StatTrak ★ shows an extremely lively look, and the style has been set to "Anodized Multicolored". Marble Fade creates such an extraordinary candy coat design through some techniques, namely silk-screening or adhesable stencils. For the marble-like effect on the body of this finish, there could be at least two options regarding how the pattern would index and appear on such an object.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 361 (27.69%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 226 (-20.06%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players