StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

4.5 2788 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 434
-11.66%
In a quarter
$ 504
+2.58%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
23 offers on 7 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
1 offers
from $ 300
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 490
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 506
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 516
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 520
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 520
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 529
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade holding ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 300
  • 7 days low: $ 300
  • 7 days high: $ 716
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 300
  • 30 days high: $ 828
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 300
  • 90 days high: $ 828
  • Year low: $ 300
  • Year high: $ 828
  • All time low: $ 300
  • All time high: $ 828
  • All time max offers: 162
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3
  • All time sales: 10
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2102
  • Volatility: 18.87%
  • Liquidity: 2.49%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 434
  • Price forecast change in a month: -11.66%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 504
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.58%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 427
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 453
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 472
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 489
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 410
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 427
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 385
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 522
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 462
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 462
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 453
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 472
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 409
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 489
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 482
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 410
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 480
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 488
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 437
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 398
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 526
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 107
72%
From last month
95 offers on 9 markets
$ 105
52%
From last month
145 offers on 9 markets
$ 68.63
52%
From last month
202 offers on 10 markets
$ 130
77%
From last month
72 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade first dropped in CS2 on March 13th, 2019, stirring much excitement in the inventory. This beautiful knife showed up for the players alongside the Prisma 2 Case, which was added with the "Seeing the Light" update and gave fans the opportunity to use this very-wanted weapon with the enchanting Marble Fade pattern.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) is an extremely rare and highly valued skin within CS2. The skin can only be pulled out from an opened container of Prisma 2 Case or Prisma Case. Because of its unique design combined with the use of vibrant colors and detailed patterns, it is unlike other knives in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

With the popularity of 95%, the ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade Minimal Wear is one of the CS2 skins that all players want to have because it is highly desirable in the game. The ratings are based on the number of skin sales per day and its market price, which is always high.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) belongs to the group of knife skins in CS2, numbering 391. Given that the rarity of the skin is Covert, it is ultra rare. The drop chance approximates 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade Minimal Wear for CS2 floats around $450.78-$471.52, which is rather high. Still, this skin is easy to get since it is available on multiple markets. Currently, there are 9.1K units of this skin present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) is between 0.00 and 0.08, so it allows both Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions to be dropped or obtained. A StatTrak variant exists for each of the Marble Fade's different exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars based on over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg. This is further reinforced by its ownership by renowned professional players such as boltz and xarte.

Finish style

Finish style

This Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) has the "Anodized Multicolored" style with the candy coat applied in a bright, multicolored pattern using a technique such as silk-screening or adherable stencils. The final look for the Marble Fade finish will be determined by its pattern index, which produces this unique and visually stunning look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 434 (-11.66%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 504 (2.58%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.07
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players