StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)

4.8 5463 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 19.63
+23.27%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 149
+40.26%
In a quarter
$ 109
+2.61%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
24 offers on 8 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched holding ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 104
  • 7 days low: $ 104
  • 7 days high: $ 596
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 84.37
  • 30 days high: $ 1 230
  • 30 days price change: 23.27%
  • 90 days low: $ 84.37
  • 90 days high: $ 1 230
  • Year low: $ 84.37
  • Year high: $ 1 230
  • All time low: $ 84.37
  • All time high: $ 1 230
  • All time max offers: 27
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 11
  • All time sales: 26
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3797
  • Volatility: 10.2%
  • Liquidity: 7.57%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 149
  • Price forecast change in a month: 40.26%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 109
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.61%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 142
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 154
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 139
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 139
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 142
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 152
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 101
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 108
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
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72 offers on 9 markets

Description

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is an intimidating survival knife with a strong full tang construction and a sleek faceted blade, both designed against the forces of nature for practicality and reliability. The sun-dappled pattern created by the spray paint has an artistic quality to it, reminding one that even in the midst of destruction, there is always the promise of renewal and rebirth.

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched was added to CS2 five years ago, specifically on August 1st, 2018. It was released with the Danger Zone Case, accompanying the "A New Horizon" update, which gave players a rough-and-tumble knife skin with a scorched blade and a handle worn from the intensity of battles fought in the game's dangerous zones.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) appeared in the CS2 community with the Danger Zone Case and Horizon Case containers, giving a chance to get this skin to players. It is one of those skins which don't belong to any collections, unlike many other skins, what makes it so special and highly wanted.

Popularity

Popularity

Presently, the popularity rating in the CS2 community stands at 90%, ranking StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) among the hottest items being transacted. It reflects the excellent number of skin sales throughout a day with its increased price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is a collective of 391 knives existing in reality within the game of CS2. Due to its rarity, Covert, this skin is ultra-rare. A skin like this would fall under an estimated drop chance of 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is considered an expensive skin in the video game CS2. Currently, it costs between $103.33 and $1,026.27. This pricey an item is quite widely available on different markets to everyone who might be looking for it. Secondly, up until now, 5.1K units of the Scorched skin populate CS2 public inventories, which should guarantee pretty good supply for those eventual collectors or users out there.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) features all the usual exteriors, with float values ranging from 0.06 to 0.80, thus promising a whole lot of variability for collectors and players alike. Another exciting feature related to this skin is the fact that each exterior version of the Scorched also has its StatTrak version so that users could track kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community attitude towards the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is extremely positive; the average rating of this item is 4.8 out of 5 stars, based on over 5.3K votes on addskins.gg. The fact that this skin belongs to professional CS2 player naf further raises the desirability of the skin among players.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) has a Spray-Paint style and showcases gray, dominating its skin. Several layers of sprayed paint hint at stencil patterns; thus, from the side view, it is a bit unique besides being worn. Scorched finish gives an in-common look determined by a pattern index to add richness with variation to the style.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 149 (40.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 109 (2.61%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players