StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)

4.8 5557 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 23
+19.33%
Last month
$ 40
+39.22%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 177
+44.55%
In a quarter
$ 112
-8.53%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
87% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
22 offers on 8 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Stained inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Stained holding ★ Ursus Knife | Stained pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Stained pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Stained pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 142
  • 24h price change: 19.33%
  • 7 days low: $ 119
  • 7 days high: $ 239
  • 7 days price change: 19.33%
  • 30 days low: $ 102
  • 30 days high: $ 350
  • 30 days price change: 39.22%
  • 90 days low: $ 102
  • 90 days high: $ 353
  • Year low: $ 102
  • Year high: $ 541
  • All time low: $ 102
  • All time high: $ 541
  • All time max offers: 61
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 18
  • Sales for last 90 days: 23
  • All time sales: 57
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -1.07
  • Volatility: 10.37%
  • Liquidity: 7.72%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 177
  • Price forecast change in a month: 44.55%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 112
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.53%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 167
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 179
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 165
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 102
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 102
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 177
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 75.9
74.75%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 179
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 165
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 171
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 180
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 180
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 102
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 102
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 177
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 75.9
74.75%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 75.9
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 102
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) is a rugged survival knife with a sharp, faceted blade and a sturdily constructed full tang design. Distinctive, forced patina created on this knife with lemon and mustard gives added quirkiness, showing yet another interesting view under black light.

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Stained dropped in CS2 on August 1, 2018, in the Danger Zone Case. This worn and scuffed knife immediately drew players with its unique stained finish and the characteristic shape of the Ursus blade.

Origin

Origin

This skin had been presented to the CS2 community with the opening of Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case containers, which allowed players to take this unique and popular skin. Unlike other skins, the ★ Ursus Knife | Stained doesn't belong to any collections, and that is why it is the extremely rare and exclusive addition to any inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

Because of its very high popularity, which is 90%, ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) is one of the most wanted items within the CS2 community. The demand for this skin could be witnessed through the huge number of sales every day and its always high price.

Rarity

Rarity

Of course, the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) is one of the 391 other Knife skins, but its rarity holds Covert status, one of the ultra-rare drops, with an approximate drop chance of just 0.26%. Yes, this is what defines getting this very StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife in such great condition-a very, very rare opportunity and really valuable in CS2.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) is a rather expensive skin, since it has a price from $115.65 to $251.60. However, it is quite easily accessible because this skin can be found on multiple markets and now there are 5.1K units of the Stained in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of this CS2 skin is in the range of 0.07-0.15, which creates a slightly worn look in this skin with minimal scratches and wear. This variant of the skin is available in all exteriors. StatTrak tracks the number of kills made by the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This is the most loved skin, StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear), by the community in CS2, with over 5.5K votes on addskins.gg and an amazing average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Players love the stained design of this knife, and the StatTrak adds even more to make it really desirable in the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

Statically tracked, the ★ Ursus Knife | Stained has a patina finish, a finish that almost resembles what case hardening or cold bluing should do, and has a distinctive gray-white coloration within the hard shell. The stained finish, therefore, offers a unique character that is not found with any other finish, an element boosting the aesthetic vibe of this realistic CS2 skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 177 (44.55%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 112 (-8.53%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class