StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New)

4.4 6134 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.03
+0.2791%
Last month
$ 2.84
+35.77%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 11.36
-5.18%
In a quarter
$ 15.96
+33.22%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
67% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
112 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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from $ 10.77
ShadowPay
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from $ 11.06
Lis-skins
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Waxpeer
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8 offers
from $ 12.22
Avan.Market
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from $ 12.24
CSGO.COM
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10 offers
from $ 13.15
Steam
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23 offers
from $ 14.69
Skinport
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from $ 15.8
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3 offers
from $ 16.35
Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Black Tie inspecting XM1014 | Black Tie reloading XM1014 | Black Tie holding XM1014 | Black Tie pose-1 XM1014 | Black Tie pose-2 XM1014 | Black Tie pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 10.78
  • 24h price change: -3.14%
  • 7 days low: $ 10.75
  • 7 days high: $ 117
  • 7 days price change: 0.2791%
  • 30 days low: $ 7.94
  • 30 days high: $ 125
  • 30 days price change: 35.77%
  • 90 days low: $ 7.94
  • 90 days high: $ 125
  • Year low: $ 7.83
  • Year high: $ 125
  • All time low: $ 7.83
  • All time high: $ 125
  • All time max offers: 114
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 54
  • Sales for last 30 days: 241
  • Sales for last 90 days: 540
  • All time sales: 1543
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.01
  • Volatility: 14.8%
  • Liquidity: 28.85%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 11.36
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.18%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 15.96
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 33.22%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 10.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.14
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.48
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.34
3.35%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 11.81
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 12.26
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.26
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.33
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.89
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.51
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.61
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.16
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 10.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.14
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.48
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.34
3.35%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 11.81
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 12.22
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 12.6
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 12.26
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.26
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.05
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.53
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 9.85
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 11.11
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.34
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 22.4
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.71
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) is a powerful, fully automatic shotgun known to spray lethal pellets and has become one of the most dangerous firearms on the battlefield. The elegant flow of black and white chrome gives this weapon the slick feel that will make it perfect for those who prefer a stylish statement when dishing out devastation. As for Izaki and Cocinero, they might come in handy at some point, but if their existence presents a threat or hindrance to your mission, then removing them now would be wise.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie first appeared in CS2 on April 27th, 2016, when it was added to the Chroma 3 Case along with other new skins. The design came from a talented community artist "Nextgenz," and soon the skin turned into the favorite one among those players who wanted to make their shotgun collection at least a bit more sophisticated.

Origin

Origin

XM1014 | Black Tie is a rare skin for the shotgun class in CS2. It is only available by opening a Chroma 3 Case container and, therefore, is highly desired by collectors and players alike. The skin features an exquisite design, adding class to any player's arsenal, and is part of the exclusive Chroma 3 Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins in the CS2 community, with an 85% popularity rating. Its desirability places it among the top 15% of the most coveted items in the game, as determined by its daily sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) is one of 134 skins for the shotgun in CS2. It's a pretty rare skin because the skin has a restricted drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie Factory New starts at $0.18 and reaches $5.23, which is incredibly reasonable given the prices of some other skins in CS2. It's currently widely available and can be purchased via multiple markets. A total of 547.4K units of the Black Tie skin have been encountered in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) ranges from 0.00 to 0.75, ensuring availability in all exteriors. Additionally, for each exterior, there is a corresponding StatTrak variant of the Black Tie, providing a chance to track kills with great fashion sense.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive, given that it got over 6.1K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Popularity is more confirmed by the fact that professional players like xyp9x, tarik, and adren own this particular skin.

Finish style

Finish style

XM1014 | Black Tie from StatTrak features a "Custom Paint Job" style in CS2, which provides quite a wide range of color variation due to different colors being allowed. The skin comes in nice-looking black-and-white color, but the pattern indexes change nothing in the elegant Black Tie finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 11.36 (-5.18%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 15.96 (33.22%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players