StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)

4.7 6422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.88
+8.97%
Last month
$ 1.88
+8.97%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 26.14
+14.45%
In a quarter
$ 27.03
+18.35%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
79% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
92 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Heaven Guard inspecting XM1014 | Heaven Guard reloading XM1014 | Heaven Guard holding XM1014 | Heaven Guard pose-1 XM1014 | Heaven Guard pose-2 XM1014 | Heaven Guard pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 22.84
  • 24h price change: 0.3074%
  • 7 days low: $ 20.96
  • 7 days high: $ 105
  • 7 days price change: 8.97%
  • 30 days low: $ 20.96
  • 30 days high: $ 12 286
  • 30 days price change: 8.97%
  • 90 days low: $ 20.29
  • 90 days high: $ 12 286
  • Year low: $ 16.76
  • Year high: $ 12 286
  • All time low: $ 16.76
  • All time high: $ 12 286
  • All time max offers: 96
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 20
  • Sales for last 30 days: 66
  • Sales for last 90 days: 146
  • All time sales: 343
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.58
  • Volatility: 19.3%
  • Liquidity: 20.45%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 26.14
  • Price forecast change in a month: 14.45%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 27.03
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 18.35%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 24.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 21.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.49
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 22.07
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.58
2.70%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 22.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 22.77
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 24.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 23.29
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 23.33
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 23.33
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 21.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.49
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 21.85
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 22.07
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.58
2.70%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 24.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.86
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 22.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 22.77
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.58
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 44.26
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
79%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard is an imposing fully automatic shotgun that boasts exceptional firepower, making it a force to be reckoned with on the battlefield. The sleek design boasts a mix of intricate hydrographic patterns and extremely detailed wing decals, because even angel imagery sometimes hides a dark purpose.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard was released on May 1st, 2014, and was added to CS2 when the skin was released as part of the Huntsman Weapon Case during "The Hunt Begins" update. This stellar design was created by the community designer known as "not_from_Heaven", and immediately caught players' eyes due to its intricate celestial motifs and pristine Factory New condition.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard Factory New is one of the rarest skins in CS2, and one could get it by opening a Huntsman Weapon Case container. This skin also comes under the exclusive Huntsman Collection, further enhancing its appeal among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) is a popular choice within the CS2 community, reflecting 85% popularity. For this stat it means that such skins are top-15 % of the most popular in-game items, considering volume of sales as well as daily price on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) is one of 134 other shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin belongs to the Restricted rarity and thus is pretty rare, with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) is a relatively inexpensive skin, and it costs in a range of $5.62-$16.64. This skin is available in many markets, and it has 103.5K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard in CS2 ranges from 0.03 to 0.50, which means that every exterior is available. Also, for the Heaven Guard skin, a StatTrak variant of each possible exterior exists.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment for StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) in CS2 is really great, as it has an average rating of 4.7 / 5-star based on over 6.4K votes at addskins.gg. Its popularity is further underscored by the fact that this skin is owned by renowned professional players such as xyp9x, seang@res, and n0thing.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard has a Custom Paint Job style that is made of custom colors and the dominant color is this bright red tint. The Heaven Guard finish always appears the same in every pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 26.14 (14.45%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 27.03 (18.35%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.05
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.