StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred)

4.6 4946 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.21
+29.23%
Last month
$ 2.14
+66.67%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.45
-16.98%
In a quarter
$ 5.46
+1.87%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
92% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
43 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
XM1014 | Incinegator inspecting XM1014 | Incinegator reloading XM1014 | Incinegator holding XM1014 | Incinegator pose-1 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-2 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 5.35
  • 24h price change: 20.77%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.14
  • 7 days high: $ 33.52
  • 7 days price change: 29.23%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.21
  • 30 days high: $ 67.11
  • 30 days price change: 66.67%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.82
  • 90 days high: $ 67.11
  • Year low: $ 2.05
  • Year high: $ 702
  • All time low: $ 2.05
  • All time high: $ 702
  • All time max offers: 123
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 8
  • Sales for last 7 days: 62
  • Sales for last 30 days: 231
  • Sales for last 90 days: 508
  • All time sales: 1379
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1739
  • Volatility: 27.13%
  • Liquidity: 17.42%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.45
  • Price forecast change in a month: -16.98%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.46
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.87%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.27
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.61
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.61
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 3.98
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.373
10.34%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.22
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.22
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.68
83.23%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.58
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.27
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.51
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.7
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.92
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.12
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.76
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.09
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.37
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 4.21
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 3.61
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.61
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.98
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.373
10.34%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.22
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.22
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.68
83.23%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.58
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.9
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.05
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 6.83
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
92%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.72
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator is a fearsome automatic shotgun, sure to send enemies running for cover with its ability to lay down a stream of lead faster than most guns can manage. Its unique custom paint job showcases a fearsome gator engulfed in flames, adding an intimidating flair to any firefight.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) was added to the CS2 weapon pool on March 13th, 2019, when the Prisma Case was released. This catchy skin, created by the brilliant community artist "EGO DEATH," quickly became a highly sought-after choice among players who want to carry an extremely powerful shotgun that also looks every bit as intimidating.

Origin

Origin

This 'StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred)' is an exclusive pull found only through a container known as the Prisma Case, adding even more rarity to this hot shotgun. It also belongs to one of the breathtaking designs in The Prisma Collection, providing gamers with an opportunity to fight with a battle-worn weapon that possesses another kind of beauty.

Popularity

Popularity

This skin, StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator, is considered the most wanted skin in the game due to its popularity among CS2 players and the rating it achieved from 90% popularity, which can be estimated by considering the high volume of sales of the skin each day and the increased price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) is a relatively rare drop, with 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. Classed as a rare drop with an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, getting the Incinegator in StatTrak condition adds an extra layer of rarity to this already sought-after skin.

Availability

Availability

The Battle-Scarred StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator is a rather cheap skin, since it costs from $1.01 to $28.22, which makes it affordable for many players. Currently, this skin is in abundant supply on different markets, which guarantees that a player can get it without significant problems. Actually, at this very moment, there are 234.6K units of the Incinegator in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is in the range of 0.14 to 0.65, which allows this skin to be in Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred conditions. Moreover, each of these skins has a StatTrak variant that allows players to track kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This XM1014 | Incinegator from StatTrak for CS2 is incredibly popular in-game, receiving more than 4.8K votes on addskins.gg, with an average rating of 4.6 out of 5-star ratings. In fact, ownership by prominent pro players in the CS2 scene-like flusha, s1mple, and seized-further confirms its widespread use.

Finish style

Finish style

This CS2 StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator Battle-Scarred features a very special "Custom Paint Job" style and advances an impressive incinegator finish. Bright yellow tint is its dominant color; this skin allows a wide range of personalized appearances without influence from different pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 4.45 (-16.98%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 5.46 (1.87%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.55
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.