StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear)

4.6 4883 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 28.93
+70.8%
Last month
$ 28.93
+70.8%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 58.58
-16.06%
In a quarter
$ 84.47
+21.03%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
87% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
13 offers on 4 markets
Updated13 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
3 offers
from $ 69.79
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 91.43
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 93.9
Steam
Steam
8 offers
from $ 295
Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
XM1014 | Incinegator inspecting XM1014 | Incinegator reloading XM1014 | Incinegator holding XM1014 | Incinegator pose-1 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-2 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 69.79
  • 24h price change: 0.2874%
  • 7 days low: $ 40.86
  • 7 days high: $ 450
  • 7 days price change: 70.8%
  • 30 days low: $ 40.86
  • 30 days high: $ 47 319
  • 30 days price change: 70.8%
  • 90 days low: $ 40.86
  • 90 days high: $ 505 642
  • Year low: $ 40.85
  • Year high: $ 505 642
  • All time low: $ 40.85
  • All time high: $ 505 642
  • All time max offers: 34
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 17
  • Sales for last 90 days: 33
  • All time sales: 91
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 0.65
  • Volatility: 12.35%
  • Liquidity: 13.01%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 58.58
  • Price forecast change in a month: -16.06%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 84.47
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 21.03%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 50.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 50.17
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 55.82
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 52.26
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 52.32
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 52.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 52.39
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 75.63
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.24
44.36%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 46.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.59
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 71.69
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 62.95
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 71.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 24.44
52.46%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 77.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 46.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.33
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 50.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 50.17
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 55.82
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 52.26
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 52.32
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 52.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 52.39
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 52.58
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 75.63
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.24
44.36%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 46.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.59
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 71.69
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 62.95
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 54.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 55.2
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 71.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 24.44
52.46%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 77.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 46.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.33
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 69.72
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 47.68
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 145
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
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From last month
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XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.72
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator-Minimal Wear is a powerful automatic shotgun that's worth an additional investment just for the lethal firepower it wields. A striking, custom paint design from a concept of a 'Fiery Gator' adds a bit more intimidation factor to this deadly weapon.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator was added to CS2 on March 13th, 2019, in the Prisma Case update. It was designed by a community artist named "EGO DEATH." This skin was an instant hit, as it had a very catchy fire-themed design, along with its StatTrak feature.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) became a part of the CS2 world, having been made available inside the Prisma Case-a container which a player could get and then obtain this particular skin from. Such a position of this skin amidst numerous excitingly cool designs involved in the Prisma Collection has placed it very high on the list for collectors and enthusiasts alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator Minimal Wear is an extremely popular CS2 skin, holding a rating of 90% popularity. Such great popularity is due to its enormous sales and high market value-it costs quite a lot-which makes it one of the most wanted skins in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) is one of 134 other Shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin belongs to the Classified rarity and is extremely rare; the drop chance is estimated at 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The most budget-friendly skin is StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator Minimal Wear, and its price goes in range from $1.01 to $28.22. This skin is available and can be easily accessed because it's highly spread over different markets. Also, there is a lot of units of Incinegator in public CS2 inventories-234.6K units.

Versions

Versions

This well-preserved CS2 shotgun features a float value between 0.14 and 0.65, meaning its different conditions, including Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred, include that skin in it. There's a StatTrak version for every variant of exterior the Incinegator may come with to further add some spice and make this particular XM1014 variation very highly demanded by collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment for the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is really positive, boasting an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars with over 4.8K votes on addskins.gg. It is also popular, being in the possession of popular professional players like flusha, s1mple, and seized.

Finish style

Finish style

The CS2 StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator Minimal Wear features the "Custom Paint Job" pattern. In the game, the skin has the style of Incinegator finish and hence is capable of getting a wide range of colors. This skin has an incredible striking yellow as the major color. All the pattern indexes maintain the same incomparable look of Incinegator.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 58.58 (-16.06%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 84.47 (21.03%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.14
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.