StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn)

4.6 4805 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.92
+114%
Last month
$ 4.92
+114%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.99
-1.48%
In a quarter
$ 7.87
+29.44%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
28 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
3 offers
from $ 9.22
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 9.99
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 10.93
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
8 offers
from $ 11
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
5 offers
from $ 11.27
Steam
Steam
4 offers
from $ 13.05
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 15
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 18
Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Incinegator inspecting XM1014 | Incinegator reloading XM1014 | Incinegator holding XM1014 | Incinegator pose-1 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-2 XM1014 | Incinegator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 9.22
  • 24h price change: 114.0%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.3
  • 7 days high: $ 32.7
  • 7 days price change: 114%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.3
  • 30 days high: $ 247
  • 30 days price change: 114%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.3
  • 90 days high: $ 247
  • Year low: $ 2.45
  • Year high: $ 10 983
  • All time low: $ 2.45
  • All time high: $ 10 983
  • All time max offers: 60
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 44
  • Sales for last 30 days: 102
  • Sales for last 90 days: 226
  • All time sales: 628
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1991
  • Volatility: 21.86%
  • Liquidity: 19.24%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.99
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.87
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 29.44%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.53
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.03
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.4
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.37
47.12%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.53
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.37
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.92
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.03
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.03
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.03
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.97
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.03
Action
🔥 Buy
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 5.03
Action
🔥 Buy
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 4.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 5.55
Action
🔥 Buy
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 5.6
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.89
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.53
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.46
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 7.4
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.37
47.12%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.37
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.03
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
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Souvenir
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$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
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Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.72
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) is a pretty powerful, fully auto shotgun that's pretty dominating in its fast-paced firing. The opposition wouldn't last too long. Besides, the unusual custom paint job-it has some sort of fiery gator theme-is bound to make this gun look both fearsome and impressive in your arsenal, thus leaving an imprint on the battlefield.

History

History

The XM1014 | Incinegator was added to the CS2 community on March 13th, 2019, when it was included in the Prisma Case as part of the "Seeing the Light" update. The design, crafted by the talented community artist "EGO DEATH," quickly gained popularity for its intricate detailing and realistic depiction of a fiery alligator.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) was presented to the community of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive through the Prisma Case, which players can open to get random skins for weapons. This skin belongs to the Prisma Collection, which includes several visually attractive firearm designs.

Popularity

Popularity

That one is the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn); this skin enjoys a remarkable 90% popularity rate within the CS2 community, therefore considered very high demand. This is manifested by high volume sales in a day and the reasonably consistent market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator(Well-Worn) is one of 134 other skins in existence for shotgun in CS2. This skin is of Classified rarity; this translates to the highly valued skin because of its estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, which in turn makes it a super rare drop.

Availability

Availability

The most budgetary option, the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) skin will cost CS2 players between $1.01 and $28.22. This skin is rather popular, which means it can be purchased on many markets, making it easy to get it real quick. There is a huge pool of 234.6K units already in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the Well-Worn condition is from 0.38 to 0.45, and it characterizes the XM1014 | Incinegator as being moderately well-worn skin. Also, players are able to purchase a StatTrak version of the Well-Worn Incinegator, which tracks the amount of kills made with the shotgun.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) in CS2 is extremely positive, carrying a high vote count. Its rating is 4.6 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. There has been substantial proof regarding its fame due to its ownership among renowned professional players like flusha, s1mple, and seized.

Finish style

Finish style

The CS2 StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) features a "Custom Paint Job" style, which is the Incinegator finish. The yellow tint of this finish offers a wide variety of customizations, and it is unaffected by pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 5.99 (-1.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 7.87 (29.44%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.