StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New)

4.9 4961 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.15
+4.57%
Last month
$ 1.13
+49.13%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.4
-1.73%
In a quarter
$ 3.6
+4.05%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
69 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
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from $ 3.43
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Steam
38 offers
from $ 4.02
Skinport
Skinport
13 offers
from $ 4.8
Bitskins
Bitskins
5 offers
from $ 6.76
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 8.96
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 8.97
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 9
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 23.95
Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New)
Gallery
XM1014 | Scumbria inspecting XM1014 | Scumbria reloading XM1014 | Scumbria holding XM1014 | Scumbria pose-1 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-2 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.43
  • 24h price change: 0.2924%
  • 7 days low: $ 3.28
  • 7 days high: $ 23.95
  • 7 days price change: 4.57%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.3
  • 30 days high: $ 23.95
  • 30 days price change: 49.13%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.3
  • 90 days high: $ 23.95
  • Year low: $ 1.74
  • Year high: $ 25.32
  • All time low: $ 1.74
  • All time high: $ 25.32
  • All time max offers: 119
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 10
  • Sales for last 7 days: 34
  • Sales for last 30 days: 93
  • Sales for last 90 days: 218
  • All time sales: 648
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1584
  • Volatility: 18.99%
  • Liquidity: 26.52%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.4
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.73%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.6
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 4.05%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.74
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.52
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.79
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.31
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.59
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 2.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
11.58%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.9
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.94
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.94
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.11
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.17
5.78%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.3
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 2.74
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.52
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.58
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.61
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.78
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.79
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.31
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 2.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.59
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 2.6
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 2.76
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 2.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
11.58%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.9
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.94
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.94
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.11
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.17
5.78%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.3
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.47
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.53
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria is a powerful, fully automatic shotgun that doles out highly destructive firepower-for a much higher price. This shotgun features a sleek and metallic paint job, adding a touch of classiness to the lethal weapon and insinuating that capturing Valeria's attention in the gripping "A Father's Love" series is calculated.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) appeared in the Shadow Case and "Shadow Boxing" update, released on September 17th, 2015. This marvelous skin was crafted by the very talented community designer G-99Factory, and it quickly made its way to being liked by players with its unique, intricate design.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) was forged in the darkness of the Shadow Case, housing a container that has different outfits for weapons. This particular skin belongs to the exclusive treasure from The Shadow Collection in a sleeker and deadlier fashion.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) has a very high demand within the CS2 market, at an outstanding 75% popularity. That would place it in the top 25% of desirable items, something that further helps establish its value within the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) is one of 134 other shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin is Mil-Spec Grade, which makes it a relatively popular drop and is estimated to have a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria Factory New skin is in the range of $0.07-$1.55, which is rather cheap and available for players with any budget. Besides, this skin is widely available in various markets, so players have multiple chances to get it. Moreover, there are already 473.4K units of Scumbria in public CS2 inventories, which indicates its high popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) in CS2 has all the available exteriors, and the float value ranges between 0.00 and 1.00. This means players in any condition can enjoy the added feature of StatTrak to track their kills with this eye-catching skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive, rated at 4.9 out of 5 stars by over 4.9K votes on addskins.gg. This is further indicated by its ownership by popular professional CS2 players aizy and zeus.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) in CS2 boasts a well-developed patina-themed finish. The gray coloration dominates the overall appearance, giving it an elegant and contemporary look; there are no pattern indexes, so the Scumbria skin maintains consistency across all its variants.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 3.4 (-1.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3.6 (4.05%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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