StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)

4.9 4987 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.04
+17.39%
Last month
$ 0.08
+42.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.328
+13.17%
In a quarter
$ 0.365
+26.03%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
64% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
122 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 0.27
Skinport
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14 offers
from $ 0.28
Bitskins
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8 offers
from $ 0.33
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
18 offers
from $ 0.33
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
10 offers
from $ 0.34
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 0.38
Steam
Steam
48 offers
from $ 0.39
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 0.475
Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Scumbria inspecting XM1014 | Scumbria reloading XM1014 | Scumbria holding XM1014 | Scumbria pose-1 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-2 XM1014 | Scumbria pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.27
  • 7 days low: $ 0.23
  • 7 days high: $ 5.86
  • 7 days price change: 17.39%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.19
  • 30 days high: $ 5.9
  • 30 days price change: 42.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.19
  • 90 days high: $ 5.9
  • Year low: $ 0.19
  • Year high: $ 59
  • All time low: $ 0.19
  • All time high: $ 59
  • All time max offers: 340
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 10
  • Sales for last 7 days: 120
  • Sales for last 30 days: 298
  • Sales for last 90 days: 659
  • All time sales: 1923
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.63
  • Volatility: 17.35%
  • Liquidity: 21.52%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.328
  • Price forecast change in a month: 13.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.365
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 26.03%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.35
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.32
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
3.12%
Result
👍 Success
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.32
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 0.329
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.009
2.81%
Result
👍 Success
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.28
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.35
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.296
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.31
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
❌ Avoid
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
❌ Avoid
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.32
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
3.12%
Result
👍 Success
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.32
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 0.329
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.009
2.81%
Result
👍 Success
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.28
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.019
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.95
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
51 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) is an intimidating fully automatic shotgun that boasts exceptional firepower, capable of unleashing a barrage of bullets with deadly precision. The metallic paint job adds to its sophistication, hinting at the calculated approach required to win Valeria's favor in A Father's Love Part 3.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) was released in CS2 on September 17th, 2015, when it was added to the game as part of the Shadow Case during the "Shadow Boxing" update. This striking skin was carefully designed by the very talented community designer G-99Factory, really showing off his creativity and attention to detail.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) is a battle-scarred shotgun skin that can be obtained through unboxing the Shadow Case container, which contains various skins for weapons. This particular skin belongs to The Shadow Collection, a set of skins renowned for their dark and mysterious look.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) is a very popular skin and, at the same time, sought after for the inventory by almost 75% of CS2 players. It is one of the most desirable skins due to the fact that it constantly holds the top 25% of places in the popularity rating, depending on daily sales volume and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

There are 134 other CS2 skins for shotgun and the overall appearance of StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn). This skin belongs to the Mil-Spec Grade, and the Scumbria is relatively easy to obtain because it has a drop chance of about 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The well-worn version of the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria costs between $0.07-$1.55, which is one of the cheaper skins. It's also quite easy to get your hands on, given how available it is through various marketplaces, and there are currently 473.4K units of the Scumbria in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, and is noticeably worn down but still highly distinctive in its design. StatTrak variants of the Scumbria are also available in all exteriors, so one can track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This has the highest community appeal for the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) in CS2, with an overwhelmingly positive rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars from over 4.9K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, it is also popular among pro players like aizy and zeus, who have already bought and shown this skin in their inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) has a patina finish, similar to the chemical reaction that creates a hardened shell over metallic parts. Dominant gray hues give it a worn look, and the pattern indexes do not affect the Scumbria finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 0.328 (13.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.365 (26.03%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players