StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred)

4.9 1163 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.14
+10.22%
Last month
$ 0.14
+10.22%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.95
+42.34%
In a quarter
$ 2.32
+69.34%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
62 offers on 7 markets
Updated11 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
XM1014 | Watchdog inspecting XM1014 | Watchdog reloading XM1014 | Watchdog holding XM1014 | Watchdog pose-1 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-2 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.51
  • 24h price change: 10.22%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.37
  • 7 days high: $ 33.2
  • 7 days price change: 10.22%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.37
  • 30 days high: $ 33.2
  • 30 days price change: 10.22%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.37
  • 90 days high: $ 701
  • Year low: $ 0.94
  • Year high: $ 701
  • All time low: $ 0.94
  • All time high: $ 701
  • All time max offers: 278
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 8
  • Sales for last 7 days: 63
  • Sales for last 30 days: 270
  • Sales for last 90 days: 604
  • All time sales: 1860
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.84
  • Volatility: 12.92%
  • Liquidity: 21.41%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.95
  • Price forecast change in a month: 42.34%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.32
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 69.34%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.64
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.57
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.15
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.05
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.88
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.64
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.57
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.15
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.05
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.88
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.76
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.4
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.88
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
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XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
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Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
12 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
$ 17.27 $ 44.72
10 offers on 2 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
258 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is a powerful shotgun famous for its fast firing, ensuring the player's dominance in the battlefield as fast as possible. The jade green custom paint job features two watchful guardian lions, positioned to guard from all angles, while a third lion symbolizes protection from beneath, under the rear sight, allowing its holder to grow and prosper.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) first popped into existence on September 21st, 2021, when it was added to the game as part of the Operation Riptide Case during the "Operation Riptide" update. This striking look came through the close mind of the community designer named "Zaphk."

Origin

Origin

StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is one of the somewhat rare shotguns in CS2; any kind of acquisition definitely would go toward those willing to open an Operation Riptide Case container. In CS2, Operation Riptide is running now, only until this skin can appear in the inventories of players-it definitely gives an extra taste of that battle-scarred touch when they fall continuously into battle.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) boasts an excellent popularity rating of 85%, which positions this skin among the top 15% most wanted items in CS2, based on consistent daily sales and its current market value, making it desirable both for collectors and players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is one of 134 other skins for shotgun in CS2. It features a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making this skin relatively common and has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Watchdog is an affordable skin of StatTrak XM1014 that costs from $0.19 to $7.43, pretty cheap. Due to its availability in large volumes, it can be easily bought through various markets. Currently, the total supply of the Watchdog skin in public CS2 inventories amounts to around 963.9K units.

Versions

Versions

The XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) has all the available types of exteriors in CS2, with the float values between 0.00 and 1.00. Each exterior has a StatTrak variant of the Watchdog skin that allows players to track their kills with this shotgun.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The general community sentiment for the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is sweet, with a rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg, based on over 1.1K votes. Also, it finds relevance in the fact that this skin belongs to the two of the most famous professional players: coldzera and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

This Battle-Scarred StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog features a professionally applied "Gunsmith" style, using a combination of patina with custom paint. The captivating green and brown color scheme adds a touch of ruggedness, while pattern variations do not alter the distinctive Watchdog finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 1.95 (42.34%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.32 (69.34%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players