StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested)

4.9 1182 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.22
+9.65%
Last month
$ 0.98
+64.47%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.81
+15.64%
In a quarter
$ 2.84
+16.87%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
81% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
111 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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from $ 2.5
White.Market
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from $ 2.97
Bitskins
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3 offers
from $ 3
Skinport
Skinport
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from $ 3.13
Steam
Steam
42 offers
from $ 3.33
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 3.47
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
10 offers
from $ 3.7
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
10 offers
from $ 4.07
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 15.29
Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested)
Gallery
XM1014 | Watchdog inspecting XM1014 | Watchdog reloading XM1014 | Watchdog holding XM1014 | Watchdog pose-1 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-2 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.5
  • 24h price change: 2.88%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.28
  • 7 days high: $ 149
  • 7 days price change: 9.65%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.52
  • 30 days high: $ 150
  • 30 days price change: 64.47%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.52
  • 90 days high: $ 151
  • Year low: $ 1.52
  • Year high: $ 151
  • All time low: $ 1.52
  • All time high: $ 151
  • All time max offers: 284
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 10
  • Sales for last 7 days: 105
  • Sales for last 30 days: 440
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1051
  • All time sales: 3051
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.81
  • Volatility: 11.71%
  • Liquidity: 25.24%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.81
  • Price forecast change in a month: 15.64%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.84
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 16.87%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.54
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.44
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.56
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.56
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.64
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.08
3.12%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.51
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.54
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.56
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.51
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.44
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.19
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.56
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.56
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.64
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.08
3.12%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.51
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.39
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.08
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.07
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
81%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
52 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
46 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.6 10786
In a year 102%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Well-Worn
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
260 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
305 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog is a shotgun that inspires fear, with its heavy firepower capable of turning any room into a battlefield of hot lead in just a few moments. Its striking jade green finish is accented with expertly painted guardian lions, which symbolize both protection and prosperity. A third lion sits below the rear sight, ever watchful and guarding its master.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog was presented to the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, together with the Operation Riptide Case and the "Operation Riptide" update. This fancy skin was crafted by the great community designer Zaphk, who managed to bring a piece of art into the game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) can be acquired through the unlocking of an Operation Riptide Case, which contains a selection of exclusive weapon skins. It is one of the notable additions to the Operation Riptide Collection, offering players a visually appealing and functional option for their XM1014 shotgun.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) managed to get a very important position in the CS2 skins ranking. Popularity for this skin is at 85%, which in simple terms means this skin occupies one of the very top levels in the hierarchy, specifically one of the top 15% most loved in-game, judged by its daily volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) is one of 134 other Shotgun skins existing in CS2. The Skin has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, which stands for relatively common drop and is calculated to drop with the estimated chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) is a relatively cheap skin, with its price starting from $0.19 and reaching $7.43, and can be easily found on multiple trading sites. It is widely popular - there are already more than 963.9K units of the Watchdog skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) in CS2 ranges between 0.00 and 1.00, which signifies that this firearm skin is available in all types of exteriors. Also, every exterior has a specific StatTrak variant of this Watchdog skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment toward the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog Field-Tested is overwhelmingly positive; it received a rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars, with over 1.1K votes on addskins.gg. Another indication of its high popularity can be seen by how this skin has been in the inventories of two professional superstar players, coldzera and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) features a "Gunsmith" style with a unique Watchdog finish. This skin is mixed with patina and custom paint styles. The color combination of this CS2 skin is really eye-catching: green and brown. The Watchdog finish for this particular firearm is the same for all pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 2.81 (15.64%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.84 (16.87%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players