StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn)

4.9 1269 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.33
+23.08%
Last month
$ 0.47
+36.43%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.84
+3.95%
In a quarter
$ 2.22
+25.42%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
83% - Forecast accuracy
72% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
118 offers on 8 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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CSGO.COM
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14 offers
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Inspect skin
StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Watchdog inspecting XM1014 | Watchdog reloading XM1014 | Watchdog holding XM1014 | Watchdog pose-1 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-2 XM1014 | Watchdog pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.76
  • 24h price change: 15.79%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.43
  • 7 days high: $ 11.91
  • 7 days price change: 23.08%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.29
  • 30 days high: $ 12.19
  • 30 days price change: 36.43%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.29
  • 90 days high: $ 66.12
  • Year low: $ 1.19
  • Year high: $ 252
  • All time low: $ 1.19
  • All time high: $ 252
  • All time max offers: 330
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 12
  • Sales for last 7 days: 110
  • Sales for last 30 days: 394
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1008
  • All time sales: 2891
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.3
  • Volatility: 12.2%
  • Liquidity: 29.71%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.84
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.95%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.22
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 25.42%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.65
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.85
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.04
2.16%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.47
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.65
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.73
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.66
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.2
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.92
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.85
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.84
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.04
2.16%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.47
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.52
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.04
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.32
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
83%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
72%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is an assault, fully automatic shotgun that has earned a reputation for being able to create a storm of projectiles at incredible speed. The olive-green base skin is decorated with intricate guardian lion designs that evoke protection and prosperity, while a third lion graces beneath the rear sight in style.

History

History

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog was released on September 21st, 2021, and was part of the Operation Riptide Case release. This well-worn skin was designed by the talented community artist "Zaphk," and has quickly become one of the more popular skins among players due to its realistic take on a vigilant watchdog, including a detailed and weathered appearance.

Origin

Origin

The Well-Worn StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog is a battle-scarred shotgun that could only be hauled out by opening an Operation Riptide Case container during the period of the event. The skin shares the same collection as other unique skins named Operation Riptide Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins and for now, it holds a rank in the top 15% of the most wanted items in CS2. This demand is determined by its very high sales volume per day and the market price of the skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other skins for shotgun class in CS2. Has a very common drop chance at Mil-Spec Grade, making it a highly drop-able skin with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) for CS2 skins starts from $0.19 and goes up to $7.43, making it a pretty affordable appearance. It is available on many markets, and has a very high popularity due to its big supply of 963.9K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

This is the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) from CS2. It's available in all exteriors, and the float value ranges from 0.00 to 1.00. This will allow players to get the StatTrak version of the Watchdog skin in any condition for the tracking of their shotgun kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) from CS2 has received a very positive community review, with more than 1.1K votes on addskins.gg, reaching the incredible average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further proved by the ownership of this skin by such well-known professional players of CS2 as coldzera and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) in CS2 has a Gunsmith style with a Watchdog finish, combining patina with custom paint applications. The skin has a balanced color scheme of green and brown, while pattern indexes do not affect the appearance of the Watchdog finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak XM1014 | Watchdog (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 1.84 (3.95%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.22 (25.42%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players