★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.8 3732 отзыва
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Latest price change
From last week
$ -53
-21.03%
From last month
$ 45
+29.22%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 247
-3.52%
In a quarter
$ 227
-11.33%
In half a year
$ 245
-4.3%
In a year
$ 237
-7.43%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
1% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
42 offers on 9 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 199
  • 24h price change: -21.96%
  • 7 days low: $ 252
  • 7 days high: $ 3 512
  • 7 days price change: -21.03%
  • 30 days low: $ 154
  • 30 days high: $ 3 540
  • 30 days price change: 29.22%
  • 90 days low: $ 154
  • 90 days high: $ 41 680
  • Year low: $ 137
  • Year high: $ 56 606
  • All time low: $ 137
  • All time high: $ 56 606
  • All time max offers: 76
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 12
  • Sales for last 90 days: 36
  • All time sales: 104
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: -0.68
  • Volatility: 9.58%
  • Liquidity: 4.64%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 247
  • Price forecast change in a month: -3.52%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 227
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -11.33%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 245
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -4.3%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 237
  • Price forecast change in a year: -7.43%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 251
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 251
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -23.57
-9.39%
Result
👎 Fail
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 232
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 253
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 249
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
❌ Avoid
November 5, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 251
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 251
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -23.57
-9.39%
Result
👎 Fail
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 232
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 253
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 253
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 250
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 249
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 254
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 249
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 267
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 254
Action
📉 Sell
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
❌ Avoid
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -23.57
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 251
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
1%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
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From last week
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From last month
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Description

History

History

The ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened was first introduced to CS2 on November 18th, 2019, which was when the skin first entered the CS2 skin list. It had featured in the Fracture Case, which was released with the "Operation Shattered Web" update. This allowed players to get this skin in Factory New state.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) features drops when one opens a container of Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case. Because this skin is popular, it does not belong to any collections, further elevating its rarity and value to a CS2 gamer.

Popularity

Popularity

It is among the highly sought CS2 skins: 95% popularity, ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened Factory New. This is because it is a highly demanded knife, evidence shown by its steady daily sales volume and leading price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a CS2 skin from The Gamma Collection and is one of 391 other Knife skins. This skin has a rarity classification of Covert, meaning it's an ultra-rare drop with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, and for that reason, it is possible to get this knife in all exteriors, each of which has its StatTrak version available. Therefore, players can enjoy their iconic Case Hardened pattern on their knife while tracking their kills with the added StatTrak feature.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This Survival Knife | Case Hardened Factory New received a high amount of praise within the CS2 community, as over 3.6K votes on addskins.gg went to give an outstanding average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. If that is not enough, ownership by professional CS2 player pimp further shows the popularity of this item as desirable and valuable to any gamer.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Survival Knife features a striking Case Hardened finish, applied using a unique pattern index that greatly affects its appearance. This patina-style design has produced a wild swirl of bright blues and purples, an effect not unlike the intricate chemical reactions that form a hardened shell over metallic parts in real-life weapons.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 247 (-3.52%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 227 (-11.33%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 245 (-4.3%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 237 (-7.43%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players