★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.5 2684 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 261
+26.47%
Last month
$ 261
+26.47%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 219
-2.25%
In a quarter
$ 1 196
-4.1%
In half a year
$ 1 054
-15.48%
In a year
$ 1 496
+19.96%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
55% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
14 offers on 7 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 247
  • 7 days low: $ 986
  • 7 days high: $ 4 802
  • 7 days price change: 26.47%
  • 30 days low: $ 986
  • 30 days high: $ 4 802
  • 30 days price change: 26.47%
  • 90 days low: $ 907
  • 90 days high: $ 4 802
  • Year low: $ 768
  • Year high: $ 229 983
  • All time low: $ 768
  • All time high: $ 229 983
  • All time max offers: 78
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3
  • All time sales: 7
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1961
  • Volatility: 9.72%
  • Liquidity: 1.35%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 219
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.25%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 196
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -4.1%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1 054
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -15.48%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1 496
  • Price forecast change in a year: 19.96%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 014
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 988
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 988
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 955
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -33
-3.34%
Result
👎 Fail
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 947
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 947
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 247
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 300
31.70%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 1 014
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 988
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 988
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 973
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 964
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 964
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 955
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -33
-3.34%
Result
👎 Fail
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 947
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 947
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 965
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 978
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 955
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 958
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 989
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 988
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 002
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 039
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1 247
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 300
31.70%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 267
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 935
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
55%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on August 1st, 2018, at the release of "A New Horizon." This super-popular knife skin was a part of the Danger Zone Case and impressed players with its great pattern of Case Hardened; it immediately turned into a collector's item and favorite among fans.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened can be obtained only by opening a Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case container in Factory New condition. Another nice thing about this skin is that it does not belong to any collections, which makes this knife relatively rare and required for almost all players.

Popularity

Popularity

Immediately, with its popularity index at 90%, the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) becomes wildly popular among players in the CS2 community, placing it squarely in the top league among the most popular items. Its popularity index is based on its volume of sales per day and the price that commands this volume of sales, which is consistently high.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 knife skins featured in CS2, and its rarity is restricted to Covert. Having a drop chance of only 0.26%, pulling this particular Case Hardened variation in Factory New condition is ultra rare.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) for CS2 is one of the most wanted skins. Considering its pretty extensive price, which has fluctuated within the range from $397.16 up to $996.14, recently it turned out to be quite available due to the possibility of buying from different markets. Commonly, there are 5.2K units of Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories, so it is not that scarce to get one.

Versions

Versions

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened : The float value ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, and with that, the knife can have a variety of patterns and colors on the blade. For each of these exterior versions, there is also a version of StatTrak, which gives the player the option to track their kills with this stunning knife skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This is quite popular, according to Talon Knife | Case Hardened, which gained more than 2.6K votes in addskins.gg and had a pretty awesome average of 4.5 out of 5 stars. It is even cemented in the ownership of professional greats flusha, niko, and jasonr.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Talon Knife features an honestly dazzling "Case Hardened" finish, showcasing a marvelous swirl of blues and golds that ripple in intensity and pattern across the blade. Index of the pattern very much defines the look, with higher index values exhibiting more saturated color and intricate design. It is because of this that each knife can be totally unique from another.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1 219 (-2.25%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1 196 (-4.1%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 1 054 (-15.48%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1 496 (19.96%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players