★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

4.5 2613 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 54
+11.97%
Last month
$ 184
+57.32%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 522
+1.76%
In a quarter
$ 619
+20.67%
In half a year
$ 672
+31.0%
In a year
$ 778
+51.67%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
26% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
61 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 505
  • 7 days low: $ 451
  • 7 days high: $ 1 225
  • 7 days price change: 11.97%
  • 30 days low: $ 321
  • 30 days high: $ 1 312
  • 30 days price change: 57.32%
  • 90 days low: $ 321
  • 90 days high: $ 5 929
  • Year low: $ 321
  • Year high: $ 130 000
  • All time low: $ 321
  • All time high: $ 130 000
  • All time max offers: 190
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 79
  • Sales for last 90 days: 109
  • All time sales: 235
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 2.9
  • Volatility: 17.84%
  • Liquidity: 4.12%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 522
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.76%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 619
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 20.67%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 672
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 31.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 778
  • Price forecast change in a year: 51.67%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 713
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 713
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 672
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -41.19
-5.78%
Result
👎 Fail
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 749
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 326
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 326
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 713
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 713
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 672
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 634
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 637
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 637
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 646
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 670
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 670
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 670
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 671
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 670
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 673
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 672
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -41.19
-5.78%
Result
👎 Fail
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 749
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 326
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 326
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 539
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -41.19
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 039
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
26%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened appeared for the first time in CS2 on August 1st, 2018, upon release as a weapon skin. It was introduced in-game with the Danger Zone Case, together with the "A New Horizon" update, and instantly amazed players due to the unique and intriguing Case Hardened pattern.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is one of the most rare and popular skins in CS2, opening cases from Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case. Not like other skins, this does not belong to collections.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened is one of the most popular CS2 skins, with its popularity standing at 90%. Its desirability can be gauged from the fact that it sells rather frequently and that it has a relatively high market value, making it the most wanted object in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is one of the 391 knife skins present in CS2. It falls under Covert rarity, hence is very rare and drop chance stands approximately around just 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) for CS2 represents an expensive skin. Its price equals $397.16-$996.14. Nevertheless, it is relatively easy to get since the skin is available in several markets. Currently, there are circa 5.2K units of the Case Hardened in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the CS2 ★ Talon Knife Case Hardened Minimal Wear ranges from 0.07 to 0.15, which gives the knife a bright blue on the blade and handle. A StatTrak version for Minimal Wear Case Hardened with an engraved kill counter is also available for collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) received a high popularity vote from the CS2 community, having over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Ownership by famous professional players like flusha, niko, and jasonr adds great value to this skin, making it really desirable for casual and competitive players.

Finish style

Finish style

The Talon Knife features a really well-done Case Hardened finish displaying an amazing variety of bright blue and gold colors, just like a very nice, aged firearm that has been weathered. The index pattern on the blade really adds some aesthetic value to it, truly making this a striking and one-of-a-kind piece for any CS2 collection.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 522 (1.76%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 619 (20.67%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 672 (31.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 778 (51.67%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players