★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.5 2785 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 177
+83.1%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 462
+11.79%
In a quarter
$ 509
+23.17%
In half a year
$ 567
+37.2%
In a year
$ 645
+56.08%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
92 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 390
  • 7 days low: $ 390
  • 7 days high: $ 3 000
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 213
  • 30 days high: $ 3 000
  • 30 days price change: 83.1%
  • 90 days low: $ 213
  • 90 days high: $ 12 241
  • Year low: $ 213
  • Year high: $ 165 142
  • All time low: $ 213
  • All time high: $ 165 142
  • All time max offers: 228
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 33
  • Sales for last 30 days: 163
  • Sales for last 90 days: 196
  • All time sales: 388
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.65
  • Volatility: 48.24%
  • Liquidity: 2.84%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 462
  • Price forecast change in a month: 11.79%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 509
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 23.17%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 567
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 37.2%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 645
  • Price forecast change in a year: 56.08%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 546
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 546
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 546
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 546
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 524
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 508
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 477
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 477
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 483
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 514
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 505
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 530
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 531
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 532
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 535
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 532
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 538
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 213
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 443
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 546
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened dropped into the digital world of CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when it joined the Danger Zone Case upon the "A New Horizon" update. Since the first release, this battle-scarred stunner has been one of the most sought-after skins among collectors and players alike, boasting an unmistakable variety of blue patterns in different shades and positions, making every knife a unique work of art.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a rare skin in CS2, dropping from Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case containers. Since this skin has a blue color pattern, no other skin shares, it does not belong to any collections, which is highly attractive for collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is the most wanted weapon that CS2 players would dream to own, with a popularity of 90%. As proof, it sells really well in volume sales per day and even sells at a premium in the market, making it one of the highly sought-after items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the 391 other skins available for Knives within CS2. However, given the Covert rarity class of this, it's an extremely rare drop that has only an estimated chance of 0.26%, which alone increases the desire for it from collectors and players alike.

Versions

Versions

Float Value ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, thus, the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened is considered as Well-Worn, showing a great deal of blue on the blade and handle. It also has a StatTrak version for the Well-Worn exterior, which lets players keep track of kills they get with this remarkable Case Hardened skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Case Hardened ★ Talon Knife has drawn serious support among the community, having more than 2.6K votes on addskins.gg while keeping an average of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is also confirmed by the fact that the skin has made its way into collections of several famous professional CS2 players, such as flusha, niko, and jasonr.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn Talon Knife is adorned in a stunning "Patina" style, with a Case Hardened finish that truly emulates the real-life case-hardening process, which hardens a shell over the metallic parts. Its pattern index contributes to an added unique touch, and the look really is unique due to its manipulation, which creates a quite distinctive and striking visual effect.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 462 (11.79%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 509 (23.17%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 567 (37.2%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 645 (56.08%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players