UMP-45 | Caramel (Battle-Scarred)

4.8 3211 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 1.06
+11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 11.26
+4.94%
In a quarter
$ 10.91
+1.68%
In half a year
$ 11.04
+2.89%
In a year
$ 19.24
+79.31%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
10 offers on 5 markets
Updated11 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 10.7
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 13.98
Steam
Steam
3 offers
from $ 17.29
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 27.45
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 28.21
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Caramel (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Caramel inspecting UMP-45 | Caramel reloading UMP-45 | Caramel holding UMP-45 | Caramel pose-1 UMP-45 | Caramel pose-2 UMP-45 | Caramel pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 10.7
  • 7 days low: $ 10.7
  • 7 days high: $ 33.87
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 9.64
  • 30 days high: $ 34.76
  • 30 days price change: 11%
  • 90 days low: $ 8.34
  • 90 days high: $ 2 567
  • Year low: $ 7.38
  • Year high: $ 2 567
  • All time low: $ 6.48
  • All time high: $ 2 567
  • All time max offers: 70
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 8
  • Sales for last 30 days: 61
  • Sales for last 90 days: 114
  • All time sales: 351
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.19
  • Volatility: 25.21%
  • Liquidity: 5.01%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 11.26
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.94%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 10.91
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.68%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 11.04
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 2.89%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 19.24
  • Price forecast change in a year: 79.31%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 11.78
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.32
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 11.78
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.32
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.32
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.34
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 9.34
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 10.45
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.24
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 11.75
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 11.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 10.6
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 11.15
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 11.18
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.84
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 12.83
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 11
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 11.32
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

This UMP45, the underdog of the SMG class, has one major drawback-a small magazine capacity. In other aspects, though, it is a versatile close-quarters gun. The caramel-colored and black-colored components are sprayed with solid color paints. Its unique appearance in one word is striking.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Caramel was the first to make its appearance in CS2 about ten years ago, when it appeared in the game on August 14th, 2013. This striking weapon was included in the highly anticipated "The Arms Deal" update and struck the eyes of players with its caramel-colored finish.

Origin

Origin

With plenty of battles and survival, a story is told through the scar-faced UMP-45 | Caramel. The skin falls under the category of an in-game limited option due to belonging to the only The Assault Collection that makes such skins very valuable to any collector or skilled gamer.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Caramel is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with an 85% popularity rating, which positions it among the top 15% of all skins. This high popularity is determined by the analysis of the skin's daily sales volume and its market price, a good indication of demand.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Caramel (Battle-Scarred) is one of the 237 available skins for this SMG within CS2. Being from the Consumer Grade, this item is pretty common and would probably be one of the more 'usual' seen in-game items.

Availability

Availability

UMP-45 | Caramel (Battle-Scarred) - a cheap skin for CS2, whose price is in a range of $5.68-$28.94. This skin is relatively easy to get because it is widely available on many markets and there are 26.8K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Caramel ranges from 0.06 to 0.80 in Battle-Scarred condition, which means players can get this skin in many different stages of wear. There is no StatTrak or Souvenir variant of the UMP-45 | Caramel.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Caramel has garnered significant praise from the CS2 community, with over 3.2K votes on addskins.gg and an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further evidenced by its ownership among professional players such as hazed, topgun, and devilwalk.

Finish style

Finish style

This worn-out, battle-scarred UMP-45 comes fitted with the "Solid Color" style sporting Caramel for the finish; its colorings vary from the normal skin's when each of the parts has a paint finish done with as much as four different colors after the assembling was finished. Light yellow is its most dominant main color, with Caramel displaying uniformity for realism, considering no pattern indices have been developed into it.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 11.26 (4.94%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 10.91 (1.68%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 11.04 (2.89%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 19.24 (79.31%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.62
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.