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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Caramel factory new is a very underrated submachine gun and only lacks magazine capacity. This submachine gun's design is sleek; the individual parts are spray-painted in an appealing caramel-and-black color combination, making it good-looking but highly versatile in close combat.
The UMP-45 | Caramel has been part of CS2 skins for nearly a decade, added on August 14th, 2013, when the "The Arms Deal" update was introduced, and since then has always been one of the most desired skins not only by its caramel color in Factory New but also because of its finish.
The UMP-45 | Caramel is a Factory New skin, pristine and now not obtainable through container opening, adding to the exclusiveness of its appeal. This skin is part of the very respected Assault Collection and, as such, highly wanted by both collectors and players alike.
UMP-45 | Caramel Factory New is a very popular cosmetic item from CS2 skins. The popularity of the skin measures 85%, and it occupies the position in the top 15% of the most desired skins, which are evaluated based on their average daily sales volumes and market prices.
The UMP-45 | Caramel is one of 237 other SMG skins, placing it in a relatively large pool of options. Coming in at Consumer Grade rarity, the Caramel skin is actually a fairly common choice among players in CS2.
The UMP-45 | Caramel Factory New skin in CS2 is a rather cheap option, with its price starting from $5.68 and peaking at $28.94. It's an easy skin to get since it's available in lots of markets, and it has about 26.8K units in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Caramel ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which insures that this skin can be found in all possible exterior states so players can easily maintain a coherent look. There are no StatTrak or Souvenir forms of this skin for collectors.
UMP-45 | Caramel got a high acceptance rate from the public, receiving over 3.2K votes at addskins.gg with a great rating of 4.8/5 stars. Its popularity is further reinforced by its ownership among renowned professional CS2 players like hazed, topgun, and devilwalk.
The UMP-45 | Caramel skin belongs to the "Solid Color" style skins. For this Caramel-colored finish, the surface is smooth and has been fully treated during the painting process in which four to five colors had been applied to each part of the firearm and then assembled. The primary color used in this gun has a slight yellow tint. For the skin of Caramel, the pattern indexes make no difference in view.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 59.34 (-0.4529%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 58.1 (-2.53%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 56.23 (-5.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 76.87 (28.95%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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