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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Caramel (Minimal Wear) is a highly underrated submachine gun that shows fantastic versatility in very close ranges but suffers from a small magazine size. The body has been painted with different parts in caramel and black, using solid colors and giving it an air of elegance.
The UMP-45 | Caramel was the first to be added in CS2-about ten years ago, actually-on August 14th, 2013-to be precise, it was released as part of the highly expected update "The Arms Deal". Since then, this stylish and highly needed skin with rich caramel tones and sleek design turned out to be a favorite among the players who wanted to give their weapons a pinch of style.
Adding exclusiveness to its already rare skin class, the UMP-45 | Caramel cannot be pulled out from the regular opening of any container. Instead, this is one of the most coveted items in the Assault Collection and highly pursued by collectors and players alike.
With the popularity rating of 85%, UMP-45 | Caramel Minimal Wear is one of the most popular skins in CS2, ranking among the top 15% of the most desired items in the game. Such a ranking is obtained by analyzing the skin's daily sales volume and its market price, which indicates a high demand and appreciation within the community.
This, along with another 237 SKin for sub-machine guns the, is from UMP-45 | Caramel Minimal Wear grade and one with the relatively popular Consumer Grade rareness category-a rather cheaply widespread, in-game CS skin.
The CS2 UMP-45 | Caramel Minimal Wear skin exists in reasonable price ranges, between $5.68 and $28.94, relatively cheap for the players. Besides, the skin is very accessible since it is present in multiple markets, hence easy to buy. Furthermore, 26.8K units of this Caramel skin exist in CS2 public inventories.
Due to this, the UMP-45 | Caramel in Minimal Wear condition can have a float value that ranges between 0.06 and 0.80 to allow all options for external skins; the skin, however is not always this dull. As was told above, though, no StatTrak and Souvenir variations are present in the market that leaves a really small number of options for such a collector looking for special kinds of this very skin.
UMP-45 | Caramel received a great response within the CS2 community, getting more than 3.2K votes on addskins.gg, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. It was so well-liked that even pro players such as hazed, topgun, and devilwalk owned this particular skin.
The UMP-45 | Caramel (Minimal Wear) has a "Solid Color" style with a dense Caramel finish. The underlying paint is then applied in as many as four complex layers, after which the parts are carefully reassembled, and resulting yellow tint makes the dominant accent. Moreover, the Caramel finish does not change with the pattern indexes and looks appetizing in any case.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 15.57 (1.76%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 15.49 (1.24%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 15.73 (2.81%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 23.78 (55.42%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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