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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45, often underappreciated, turns out to be a multi-purpose close-quarters automatic gun. Its only disadvantage is its small magazine capacity. This is a spray-painted caramel and black UMP-45 with a lot of elegance in its ruggedness, adorned with individually painted parts.
After nearly ten years, the UMP-45 | Caramel dropped in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when it was added to the "The Arms Deal" update as a rather fashionable and worn version of the UMP-45 submachine gun.
The UMP-45 | Caramel is a well-worn skin and is one of the rare in-game items, which cannot be obtained via container openings but is instead part of the Assault Collection. This makes it highly sought after in the inventory of any CS2 player. The caramel-colored pattern gives this skin an air of elegance and uniqueness, making it very special for collectors and enthusiasts alike.
This Caramel UMP-45 holds the pride of an impressive popularity in CS2 communities with a ranking of 85%, within the best 15% of all highly wanted items from this game, which is calculated through the use of sales frequency and cost in real time in the market every single day.
The UMP-45 | Caramel (Well-Worn) has a total of 237 other SMG skins, which makes it not that rare in CS2. As this skin is within the Consumer Grade rarity, it's pretty common for many players to get it.
The UMP-45 | Caramel skin in Well-Worn condition, for CS2, falls within a reasonable price range between $5.68 and $28.94. It's relatively easy to get since this skin is pretty common and pops up in almost every market place. Currently, it occupies roughly 26.8K units in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Well-Worn) in CS2 is between 0.06 and 0.80, meaning a purchase of this skin in any exterior condition is possible. Still, for real collectors, there must be an understanding that StatTrak and Souvenir versions are not available for the UMP-45 | Caramel.
The UMP-45 | Caramel is an extremely loved skin in the CS2 community, having more than 3.2K votes given on addskins.gg, averaging 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity even extends to professional players such as hazed, topgun, and devilwalk, who proudly own and utilize this skin in their competitive matches.
This version of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Well-Worn) from CS2 features a 'Solid Color' style with Caramel as its finish. A 'Solid Color' style would typically have all components painted using up to four uniquely colored paints before reassembling. The base color used for this skin has a faint yellow tint; pattern indexes have no effect on the Caramel finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Caramel (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 12.43 (-3.72%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 13.67 (5.89%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 12.76 (-1.16%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 21.68 (67.93%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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