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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
UMP-45 | Crime Scene was added to the virtual CS2 universe on December 3rd, 2020, after the highly hyped "Operation Broken Fang" update, and features a Factory New finish. Its realistic crime scene with blood and caution tape marked this skin very popular among users in no time, making gaming thrilling and truly immersive.
The Factory New version of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene is an extremely rare skin and one of the few that aren't available through container openings, hence highly sought by collectors. This skin is only part of The Control Collection, which makes it all the more in demand among players.
The UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Factory New) enjoys a very high popularity among the CS2 players, standing at an average of 90%. This is further reflected in its sales volume per day and the price premium it calls for, further securing its place among the most in-demand skins in the game.
The UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. It has a skin classification of Restricted, making it relatively rare and having an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.
UMP-45 | Crime Scene Factory New is the most inexpensive CS2 skin available, and it costs in a range from $55.48 to $65.09. It's not that hard to get because this skin is available in lots of markets, and it has 28.7K units in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene ranges from 0.00 to 0.75, so players can get this skin in any exterior variant in Factory New condition. However, none of the StatTrak or Souvenir variants of the Crime Scene can be found by collectors.
The Factory New UMP-45 | Crime Scene got so much love in the community, and on addskins.gg, it received more than 2.9K votes for an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This skin is also owned by professional CS2 players like tarik, krystal, and cerq.
The UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Factory New) features a "Custom Paint Job" style that is amazingly complemented by the finish-the crime scene. A wide palette of colors is possible with this finish, turning highly customizable appearances, while pattern indexes don't impact the Crime Scene finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 128 (19.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 135 (25.78%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 157 (46.28%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 259 (141.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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