UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear)

4.8 3056 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 13.32
+14.37%
Last month
$ 13.32
+14.37%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 110
+3.95%
In a quarter
$ 126
+19.07%
In half a year
$ 146
+37.97%
In a year
$ 246
+132.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
80 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Crime Scene inspecting UMP-45 | Crime Scene reloading UMP-45 | Crime Scene holding UMP-45 | Crime Scene pose-1 UMP-45 | Crime Scene pose-2 UMP-45 | Crime Scene pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 106
  • 24h price change: 0.95%
  • 7 days low: $ 92.68
  • 7 days high: $ 1 171
  • 7 days price change: 14.37%
  • 30 days low: $ 92.68
  • 30 days high: $ 1 396
  • 30 days price change: 14.37%
  • 90 days low: $ 92.68
  • 90 days high: $ 1 396
  • Year low: $ 77.93
  • Year high: $ 24 217
  • All time low: $ 54
  • All time high: $ 24 217
  • All time max offers: 114
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 8
  • Sales for last 30 days: 25
  • Sales for last 90 days: 61
  • All time sales: 151
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 6.98
  • Volatility: 10.57%
  • Liquidity: 5.24%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 110
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.95%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 126
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 19.07%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 146
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 37.97%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 246
  • Price forecast change in a year: 132.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 100
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 115
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 100
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 115
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 115
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 120
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 135
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 140
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 149
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 104
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 115
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

History

History

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene first appeared in the realm of CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, when it was added as a new weapon skin as part of the highly expected "Operation Broken Fang" update. Thanks to its pretty different crime scene design, this skin immediately became one of the hottest choices for those players who wished to add a touch of mystery and intrigue to their loadout.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene is impossible to get through the opening of any cases or containers because it is not part of them. This skin is part of only one collection, which is Control Collection, and this makes it very rare and highly wanted by the community of CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene-Minimal Wear has an insane 90% popularity in the CS2 community, making it one of the most popular objects in-game. This level of popularity is determined by taking into consideration the daily sales volume and the price at which the item is currently on the market, making this skin highly in demand among gamers.

Rarity

Rarity

UMP-45 | Crime Scene features a total of 237 skins in CS2, and the Minimal Wear condition makes this skin even rarer. Restricted is the official rarity of the skin, standing for rather rare drops, meaning the skin statistically has a drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Being as attractive and so affordable, ranging from $ 55.48 to $65.09 the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) enjoys easy accessibility over various markets at the same moment, which inspires its popularity - 28.7K units are found currently in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the Minimal Wear UMP-45 | Crime Scene lies between 0.07 and 0.15, retaining its peculiar design with minimal abrasion. All theexteriors can present this skin, players can pick up the one that looks catchy to them. For collectors, though, UMP-45 | Crime Scene doesn't have StatTrak nor Souvenir variant variants.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene has amazing community approval in CS2, with an average rating of 4.8 / 5 stars and over 2.9K votes from addskins.gg. Further reinforcement toward its popularity can be seen with ownership among the best professional players like tarik, krystal, and cerq themselves.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) in CS2 features a "Custom Paint Job" style with a bright Crime Scene finish. This finish allows for a wide array of customizable looks in a rich spectrum of colors, while the pattern indexes have no impact on the distinctive Crime Scene design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 110 (3.95%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 126 (19.07%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 146 (37.97%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 246 (132.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players