UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn)

4.8 2975 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 138
0%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 135
0.0%
In a quarter
$ 147
0.0%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Crime Scene inspecting UMP-45 | Crime Scene reloading UMP-45 | Crime Scene holding UMP-45 | Crime Scene pose-1 UMP-45 | Crime Scene pose-2 UMP-45 | Crime Scene pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 138
  • 7 days low: $ 0
  • 7 days high: $ 0
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 138
  • 30 days high: $ 575
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 127
  • 90 days high: $ 1 563
  • Year low: $ 75.7
  • Year high: $ 1 563
  • All time low: $ 74.47
  • All time high: $ 1 563
  • All time max offers: 13
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 5
  • All time sales: 14
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1463
  • Volatility: 11.66%
  • Liquidity: 1.07%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 135
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 147
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 155
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 575
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
✋ Hold
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
❌ Avoid
November 8, 2025
Price
$ 155
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 179
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 575
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
✋ Hold
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 138
Action
❌ Avoid
November 8, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
19
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 19 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last month
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128%
From last month
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UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

History

History

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene was one of the additions included in the online battlefields of CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, within the highly anticipated "Operation Broken Fang" update. This worn-out variant of UMP-45 has a battle-hardened appearance with specks of blood and grime, reflections of its hard history at so many crime scenes.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene has been through a lot of wear and tear, telling a story of many crime scenes and investigations that the weapon has gone through. This skin is not available in any container opening and is an extremely rare find from the Control Collection, emphasizing its association with law enforcement and forensic work.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) is a very popular skin. It holds 90% of the popularity top in the CS2 community. The great demand is explained by high sales volume daily, and it commands a respectable price, hence its position among the most desired in-game skins.

Rarity

Rarity

UMP-45 | Crime Scene is among 237 other SMG skins that do exist in-game. The Well-Worn grade features a rather uncommon skin-a Rare one: its drop probability being 15.98 %.

Availability

Availability

UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) to skins for CS2 will cost from $55.48 to $65.09, which is rather cheap. This skin is considered easy to get because it's available both in several markets and has pretty big supply of 28.7K units circulating in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, so it has a pretty average wear factor with scratches and wear on the body. No StatTrak or Souvenir version is available for this skin, which is a shame, since it's not as highly collectible.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene got much more attention from the community; it received over 2.9K votes at addskins.gg and has an average rating of 4.8/5 stars. Another proof of its desirability is its owners, famous professional CS2 players tarik, krystal, and cerq.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn UMP-45 has a "Custom Paint Job" style that perfectly goes with its finish, the Crime Scene. With this, one can have their preferred color of choice to just about anything imaginable. The underlying pattern index affects none of the colors, resulting in a nice, consistent-but-interesting feel to the Crime Scene finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 135 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 147 (0.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players