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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 19 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The UMP-45 | Crime Scene was one of the additions included in the online battlefields of CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, within the highly anticipated "Operation Broken Fang" update. This worn-out variant of UMP-45 has a battle-hardened appearance with specks of blood and grime, reflections of its hard history at so many crime scenes.
The UMP-45 | Crime Scene has been through a lot of wear and tear, telling a story of many crime scenes and investigations that the weapon has gone through. This skin is not available in any container opening and is an extremely rare find from the Control Collection, emphasizing its association with law enforcement and forensic work.
The UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) is a very popular skin. It holds 90% of the popularity top in the CS2 community. The great demand is explained by high sales volume daily, and it commands a respectable price, hence its position among the most desired in-game skins.
UMP-45 | Crime Scene is among 237 other SMG skins that do exist in-game. The Well-Worn grade features a rather uncommon skin-a Rare one: its drop probability being 15.98 %.
UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) to skins for CS2 will cost from $55.48 to $65.09, which is rather cheap. This skin is considered easy to get because it's available both in several markets and has pretty big supply of 28.7K units circulating in the public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, so it has a pretty average wear factor with scratches and wear on the body. No StatTrak or Souvenir version is available for this skin, which is a shame, since it's not as highly collectible.
The UMP-45 | Crime Scene got much more attention from the community; it received over 2.9K votes at addskins.gg and has an average rating of 4.8/5 stars. Another proof of its desirability is its owners, famous professional CS2 players tarik, krystal, and cerq.
This Well-Worn UMP-45 has a "Custom Paint Job" style that perfectly goes with its finish, the Crime Scene. With this, one can have their preferred color of choice to just about anything imaginable. The underlying pattern index affects none of the colors, resulting in a nice, consistent-but-interesting feel to the Crime Scene finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 135 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 147 (0.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.