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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 15 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily is a Factory New skin that dropped into CS2 for the first time on November 18th, 2019, when the long-anticipated "Operation Shattered Web" update finally came. Wearing an explosive floral design in pristine condition, it swiftly turned into one of the most wanted skins by players.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily can't be pulled out from any container opening, but was part of an exclusive Collection: St. Marc Collection - the reason this skin is extremely well sought after. Its unbelievable Factory New condition makes the flowers look so very detailed, therefore being a collector's and a player's prize.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily is a popular choice amongst the CS2 skin community, currently ranked at 75%. With regard to daily sales volume and value, the market price for it is among the top 25% most wanted skins.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily is one of 237 other SMG skins, making it around average in terms of availability. This skin is classified as Mil-Spec Grade and is relatively easy to obtain, featuring a drop chance estimated at 79.92%.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Factory New) skin has a pretty cheap price: from $62.56 up to $92.37, which allows CS2 players to be able to buy it easily and without significant losses. Moreover, this skin is highly available since it can be found on several markets, and that means a player will have several options to buy it. Currently, there are about 8.4K units of the Day Lily skin in public CS2 inventories.
The float value for a UMP-45 | Day Lily in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.55, which means that this skin can be pulled in several wear levels. Unfortunately for collectors, there are no StatTrak nor Souvenir variants of the Day Lily available.
Community loves UMP-45 | Day Lily; for this very reason, this gun received more than 2.3K votes with an outstanding average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. This popularity finds proof even from ownership by the great pro CS2 player xyp9x himself.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Factory New) features, in CS2, an extremely striking "Hydrographic" style in which the disassembled weapon parts are carefully dipped through a floating hydrographic film on top of a water tank; the film adheres to the primed weapon parts, revealing a dizzying pattern that changes in looks according to its pattern index, thereby creating a neat and eye-catching Day Lily finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 148 (18.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 178 (41.92%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 208 (65.84%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 280 (123.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.