UMP-45 | Day Lily (Field-Tested)

4.9 2493 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 126
+38.9%
In a quarter
$ 165
+81.9%
In half a year
$ 179
+97.33%
In a year
$ 221
+144.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
36 offers on 7 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
6 offers
from $ 87.84
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
7 offers
from $ 89.97
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 90.24
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 118
Skinport
Skinport
4 offers
from $ 121
Steam
Steam
11 offers
from $ 122
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 223
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Day Lily (Field-Tested)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Day Lily inspecting UMP-45 | Day Lily reloading UMP-45 | Day Lily holding UMP-45 | Day Lily pose-1 UMP-45 | Day Lily pose-2 UMP-45 | Day Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 87.84
  • 7 days low: $ 87.84
  • 7 days high: $ 226
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 87.84
  • 30 days high: $ 232
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 87.84
  • 90 days high: $ 818
  • Year low: $ 87.84
  • Year high: $ 24 915
  • All time low: $ 64.26
  • All time high: $ 24 915
  • All time max offers: 41
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 12
  • All time sales: 49
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 12.95
  • Volatility: 8.87%
  • Liquidity: 3.09%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 126
  • Price forecast change in a month: 38.9%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 165
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 81.9%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 179
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 97.33%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 221
  • Price forecast change in a year: 144.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 150
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 150
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 148
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 144
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 152
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 145
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 139
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 90.71
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 150
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The UMP-45 | Day Lily was added as a new skin in CS2 on November 18th, 2019, which coincided with the "Operation Shattered Web" update. This field-tested variant of the UMP-45 has, since then, become one of the highly desirable weapon skins within the player community, as its design combines intricacy with florality and looks battle-hardened.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Day Lily is not available through container openings but is an exclusive skin that can be found in The St. Marc Collection. Inspired by the day lily, a flower of subtle beauty, this skin has an intricate floral pattern and a splash of colors, making it one of the most sought-after skins for collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Day Lily boasts a popularity rating of 75%, which places it proudly among the most demanded in CS2 and well within the top 25% of the market. Such an appraisal is determined by a detailed analysis of its sales volume and market value on a day-to-day basis, confirming its appeal among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Day Lily is a skin that features a rather common category. It is one out of 237 other SMG skins, and its rarity is Mil-Spec Grade. The drop chance of the skin is estimated to be 79.92%, which, accordingly, sets Day Lily among the pretty common ones in CS2.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Field-Tested) does not break the bank, coming in at between $62.56 and $92.37, depending on the market. As a highly available skin, some 8.4K units of the Day Lily skin are in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Day Lily in Field-Tested condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.55, which means this skin is available in all wear levels. Unfortunately, StatTrak and Souvenir versions of the Day Lily are not available at this time.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the UMP-45 | Day Lily from CS2 is positive, with more than 2.3K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. This skin is really popular and is currently owned by a professional CS2 player-xyp9x.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Field-Tested) has a hydrographic style in which the elements of the weapon are carefully passed through a floating hydrographic film on a water tank. As the film sticks to the primed parts, an engaging pattern wraps itself around the surface, forming the compelling Day Lily finish. The look of this skin is influenced by its pattern index, meaning each UMP-45 will look slightly different.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 126 (38.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 165 (81.9%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 179 (97.33%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 221 (144.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.55
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players