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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily first appeared in competitive CS2 on November 18th, 2019, and was one of the highly desired skins in the "Operation Shattered Web" update. Minimal Wear has managed to keep its conditions up very nicely, making it rather popular among players seeking both fashion and performance.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily is an exclusive skin, and it cannot be pulled out of any container, simply because it doesn't exist in any of them. This skin is part of the St. Marc Collection and, therefore, one of the rarest CS2 skins that every player wants to get.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily skin is in Minimal Wear condition and enjoys a really huge following; it's rated at 75% popularity, placing it in the top echelons of the CS2 skins since it always stays in the top 25 percent by its daily sales volume and price.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Minimal Wear) is a relatively common drop and one of 237 other SMG skins in the game. Being an Mil-Spec Grade skin, it has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily(Minimal Wear) is fairly affordable, traded between $ 62.56-$ 92.37 approx. It shouldn't be a challenge to acquire due to large availability in numerous markets and its large presence (about 8.4k units) of the skin available in public CS2 inventories.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily is a resourceful skin for CS2 that all exteriors can have. These range from a fresh float of 0.00 to a float that contributes towards a somewhat used 0.55. However, collectors have to bear in mind that there are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions available to buy.
The community sentiment of UMP-45 | Day Lily is Overwhelmingly Positive since the average rating is 4.9 / 5 stars and over 2.3K votes for its skins on addskins.gg. Its ownership by the professional CS2 player xyp9x further underscores its popularity among serious players.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily features a Hydrographic finish in which the weapon parts are fully submerged in a water tank with a floating hydrographic film. The artistic pattern that gives this unique finish of Day Lily appears when the film adheres to the primed parts. Visual effect depends on the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 143 (12.93%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 168 (32.67%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 186 (46.88%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 232 (83.21%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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