UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn)

4.9 2430 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 189
0.0%
In a quarter
$ 191
0.0%
In half a year
$ 208
0.0%
In a year
$ 425
0.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
5 offers on 4 markets
Updated2 hours, 45 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 135
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 135
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 139
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 185
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Day Lily inspecting UMP-45 | Day Lily reloading UMP-45 | Day Lily holding UMP-45 | Day Lily pose-1 UMP-45 | Day Lily pose-2 UMP-45 | Day Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 135
  • 7 days low: $ 135
  • 7 days high: $ 185
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 135
  • 30 days high: $ 185
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 135
  • 90 days high: $ 198
  • Year low: $ 81.15
  • Year high: $ 203
  • All time low: $ 60.72
  • All time high: $ 203
  • All time max offers: 6
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 2
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Oct. 12, 2025
  • Risk: 6.44
  • Volatility: 7.08%
  • Liquidity: 2.45%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 189
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 191
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 208
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 425
  • Price forecast change in a year: 0.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 128
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 128
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 193
Action
🔥 Buy
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
🔥 Buy
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 128
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
13
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 13 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.58
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
313 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

History

History

UMP-45 | Day Lily joins the CS2 weaponry, with wear and tear from many battles. This was on November 18th, 2019, with the release of "Operation Shattered Web." A unique submachine gun with a floral pattern featuring a custom day lily, flowing on the body of this deadly device, turns a battle into a gentle display of beauty.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Day Lily isn't acquired by the usual method of opening cases, but rather is one of the skins falling into The St. Marc Collection. With an incredibly intricate design, this skin showcases a vibrant array of day lilies that symbolize resilience and beauty in the chaos of war.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is a highly popular skin in CS2, with a popularity rating of 75%. It is one of the most demanded items in the game, taking into consideration daily sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is one of 237 available skins for the SMG, hence not rare for the players. The Day Lily holds an in-game rarity of Mil-Spec Grade and is considered to have an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, further signifying its high appearance chances in loot drops.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is relatively cheap, as its price varies in a range from $62.56 to $92.37, and this skin is available on many markets. It is a pretty popular skin, since more or less 8.4K units of the Day Lily skin are currently in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Day Lily in well-worn condition is between 0.00 and 0.55, which guarantees that this skin can be pulled in any exterior wear. Unfortunately, there are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions of this skin available at this time.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This has amassed a very positive community sentiment for UMP-45 | Day Lily, having a 4.9 out of 5-star rating on average, garnered from over 2.3K votes at addskins.gg. Additionally, ownership by professional CS2 player xyp9x contributes to the solidifying of this skin in reputation, desired throughout the community.

Finish style

Finish style

UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) This skin has a hydrographic finish, whereby parts of the weapon are dipped in a water tank full of floating film. As the film clings to the primed parts, a unique Day Lily pattern would emerge; the result varies from the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 189 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 191 (0.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 208 (0.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 425 (0.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.55
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players