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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 13 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
UMP-45 | Day Lily joins the CS2 weaponry, with wear and tear from many battles. This was on November 18th, 2019, with the release of "Operation Shattered Web." A unique submachine gun with a floral pattern featuring a custom day lily, flowing on the body of this deadly device, turns a battle into a gentle display of beauty.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily isn't acquired by the usual method of opening cases, but rather is one of the skins falling into The St. Marc Collection. With an incredibly intricate design, this skin showcases a vibrant array of day lilies that symbolize resilience and beauty in the chaos of war.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is a highly popular skin in CS2, with a popularity rating of 75%. It is one of the most demanded items in the game, taking into consideration daily sales volume and price.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is one of 237 available skins for the SMG, hence not rare for the players. The Day Lily holds an in-game rarity of Mil-Spec Grade and is considered to have an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, further signifying its high appearance chances in loot drops.
The UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is relatively cheap, as its price varies in a range from $62.56 to $92.37, and this skin is available on many markets. It is a pretty popular skin, since more or less 8.4K units of the Day Lily skin are currently in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Day Lily in well-worn condition is between 0.00 and 0.55, which guarantees that this skin can be pulled in any exterior wear. Unfortunately, there are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions of this skin available at this time.
This has amassed a very positive community sentiment for UMP-45 | Day Lily, having a 4.9 out of 5-star rating on average, garnered from over 2.3K votes at addskins.gg. Additionally, ownership by professional CS2 player xyp9x contributes to the solidifying of this skin in reputation, desired throughout the community.
UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) This skin has a hydrographic finish, whereby parts of the weapon are dipped in a water tank full of floating film. As the film clings to the primed parts, a unique Day Lily pattern would emerge; the result varies from the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Day Lily (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 189 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 191 (0.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 208 (0.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 425 (0.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.