UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested)

4.9 5569 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.07
+14.89%
Last month
$ 0.12
+28.57%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.51
-5.56%
In a quarter
$ 0.474
-12.15%
In half a year
$ 0.54
0.0%
In a year
$ 1.01
+87.04%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
87% - Forecast accuracy
80% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
318 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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45 offers
from $ 0.69
White.Market
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58 offers
from $ 0.7
ShadowPay
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50 offers
from $ 0.73
Steam
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49 offers
from $ 0.76
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Delusion inspecting UMP-45 | Delusion reloading UMP-45 | Delusion holding UMP-45 | Delusion pose-1 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-2 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.54
  • 24h price change: 14.89%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.47
  • 7 days high: $ 3.9
  • 7 days price change: 14.89%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.42
  • 30 days high: $ 6.39
  • 30 days price change: 28.57%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.35
  • 90 days high: $ 40 000
  • Year low: $ 0.25
  • Year high: $ 40 000
  • All time low: $ 0.21
  • All time high: $ 40 000
  • All time max offers: 327
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 16
  • Sales for last 7 days: 163
  • Sales for last 30 days: 788
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1917
  • All time sales: 5528
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.39
  • Volatility: 12.9%
  • Liquidity: 11.46%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.51
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.56%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.474
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -12.15%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.54
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.01
  • Price forecast change in a year: 87.04%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.429
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.429
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.111
25.87%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.55
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.429
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.429
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.4
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.4
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.366
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.111
25.87%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.55
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.49
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.111
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.98
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
80%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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Description

The Field-Tested UMP-45 | Delusion is the chosen mystical SMG, whose dominant close-range gameplay, save for the much smaller magazine, holds it back from being a juggernaut. This has been tagged with a very interesting design on the nautilus, giving the whole piece an otherworldly charisma, beckoning players toward the mysteries of Carcosa.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Delusion was one of the virtual battlegrounds from CS2 that dropped on November 11th, 2014, along with the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case and highly popular "Operation Vanguard" update. This stunning piece of art adorns the UMP-45, contributed by the very skilled community designer named "Algis".

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Delusion, being one of the most realistic and highly demanded skins, could be obtained via opening an Operation Vanguard Weapon Case container. Given that this skin belongs to one of the exclusives in the Vanguard Collection, it is, therefore, a very rare skin and highly sought after by CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Delusion has a popularity rating of 75% and has joined the top possessions in CS2, outperforming over three-quarters of other skins in terms of demand. Such estimation is the consequence of the skin's sales volume and its price, speaking volumes about the skin's powerful appeal within the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Delusion contains a mid range Risk and is restricted to 237 other SMG skins. This skin is a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making the Delusion a rather common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) skin is relatively cheap. It's available for players in a price range of $0.21-$3.85. This is a pretty popular skin, and getting it shouldn't be a problem since it's available in many markets, and the total supply in public CS2 inventories is huge - 187.6K units.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Delusion is within the ranges from 0.06 to 0.35, which allows the skin to be dropped with Factory New, Minimal Wear, and Field-Tested versions. There is also a StatTrak variant in every exterior option of Delusion.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

UMP-45 | Delusion gained quite a bit of fame in the CS2 community. It has 5.4K votes, with an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its ownership by famous professional players like hiko, seang@res, and havoc only adds to its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

This Field-Tested UMP-45 | Delusion features a carefully "Spray-Paint" applied skin with detailed stenciled designs, and a multiple layering of paint. A prominent green tint imbues the skin with a certain degree of intensity, and the general look of Delusion differs a little in terms of pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.51 (-5.56%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.474 (-12.15%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.54 (0.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.01 (87.04%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.25
Max: 0.35
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.