UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear)

4.9 5470 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.06
+6.9%
Last month
$ 0.31
+50%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.97
+4.3%
In a quarter
$ 0.94
+1.08%
In half a year
$ 1.2
+29.03%
In a year
$ 2.49
+168.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
87% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
201 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Skinport
14 offers
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from $ 0.99
White.Market
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31 offers
from $ 1.19
CSGO.COM
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18 offers
from $ 1.22
Steam
Steam
59 offers
from $ 1.24
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 1.24
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
31 offers
from $ 1.42
Bitskins
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7 offers
from $ 1.52
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Delusion inspecting UMP-45 | Delusion reloading UMP-45 | Delusion holding UMP-45 | Delusion pose-1 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-2 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.93
  • 24h price change: 1.09%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.87
  • 7 days high: $ 46.73
  • 7 days price change: 6.9%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.62
  • 30 days high: $ 47.08
  • 30 days price change: 50%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.62
  • 90 days high: $ 40 000
  • Year low: $ 0.36
  • Year high: $ 40 000
  • All time low: $ 0.308
  • All time high: $ 40 000
  • All time max offers: 246
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 40
  • Sales for last 7 days: 246
  • Sales for last 30 days: 885
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2223
  • All time sales: 6207
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 1.47
  • Volatility: 36.53%
  • Liquidity: 12.28%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.97
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.3%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.94
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.08%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.2
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 29.03%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.49
  • Price forecast change in a year: 168.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.6
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.67
111.50%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.42
42.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.83
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.6
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.59
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.61
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.69
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.71
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.97
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.67
111.50%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.08
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.42
42.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.83
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 1.06
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.09
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.43
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
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In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
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128%
From last month
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UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
89 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
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In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.17
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) is an often overlooked SMG that excels in close-quarters combat, with its only downside being its limited magazine capacity. Its striking nautilus screen print design adds a touch of mystique, reminiscent of the enigmatic Carcosa.

History

History

UMP-45 | Delusion was added to CS2 on November 11th, 2014, when it was released as part of the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. The following skin is one of those which represents excellent work from the very beginning with a great community designer, Algis, being able to bring some truly artistic designs onto the body of one of the most commonly used submachine guns in this game.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Delusion has an intricate design and sleek finish, and can be acquired by unlocking an Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, making the process of acquiring it rather exciting. This is a great example of a beautiful piece from the Vanguard Collection, where art perfectly meets functionality, and it's highly desired in the game CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) boasts a popularity of 75%. For this skin, it is in the top 25% rank of many wanted items in the game due to its high sales volume and sweet price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) - a skin for SMG and 237 skins in total on this weapon. Skin has Mil-Spec Grade rarity and this is the most common drop chance. Estimated Drop Chance: 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Delusion Minimal Wear skin is relatively cheap in CS2 gameplay, ranging from $0.21 to $3.85. Besides, it is easily available since one can buy it from any market. Therefore, this skin is generally popular among many players. Currently, there are about 187.6K units of the Delusion skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Delusion is one of the most popular skins in CS2. Minimal wear for this skin has a float value of 0.06-0.35, sporting little wear that gives it more character. There is also a StatTrak version of the Delusion in Minimal Wear, which shows the total number of kills with that particular skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

To many, the UMP-45 | Delusion represents reality for many-it gathered enough appreciation from the community within CS2 with over 5.4K votes on addskins.gg, achieving an average vote of 4.9/5 stars, nor does that stop as at the professional tier players such as Hiko, Seang@res, and Havoc wear their proud possessions within their armory.

Finish style

Finish style

This Minimal Wear UMP-45 | Delusion features a "Spray-Paint" finish where intricate stencil patterns have been applied in layers of spray paint. Dominant green tint gives this finish an edge, and the pattern index further affects the quality of the unique appearance of the Delusion finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 0.97 (4.3%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.94 (1.08%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.2 (29.03%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.49 (168.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.35
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.