UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)

4.8 561009 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 576
+2.52%
In a quarter
$ 653
+16.22%
In half a year
$ 816
+45.23%
In a year
$ 1 359
+142.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
48 offers on 9 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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4 offers
from $ 740
Avan.Market
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1 offers
from $ 773
CSGO.COM
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2 offers
from $ 906
CSGOEmpire
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from $ 1 303
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Fade inspecting UMP-45 | Fade reloading UMP-45 | Fade holding UMP-45 | Fade pose-1 UMP-45 | Fade pose-2 UMP-45 | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 551
  • 7 days low: $ 551
  • 7 days high: $ 2 682
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 551
  • 30 days high: $ 6 689
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 551
  • 90 days high: $ 6 689
  • Year low: $ 334
  • Year high: $ 100 931
  • All time low: $ 334
  • All time high: $ 100 931
  • All time max offers: 70
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 19
  • All time sales: 73
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 9.44
  • Volatility: 7.41%
  • Liquidity: 7.89%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 576
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.52%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 653
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 16.22%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 816
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 45.23%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1 359
  • Price forecast change in a year: 142.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 607
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 607
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 607
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 607
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 584
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 665
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 631
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 631
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 582
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 616
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 643
Action
🔥 Buy
August 31, 2025
Price
$ 655
Action
🔥 Buy
September 8, 2025
Price
$ 645
Action
🔥 Buy
September 16, 2025
Price
$ 640
Action
🔥 Buy
September 24, 2025
Price
$ 680
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 645
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 700
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 570
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 579
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 607
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.61
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
313 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.16
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

History

History

The UMP-45 | Fade was shown for the first time in CS2 on September 21st, 2021. Brilliant gradient design combined with a factory-new exterior managed to charm players' attention right away. This skin was added as an exclusive skin to the Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, which came right after the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update, adding lots of new features and gameplay improvements.

Origin

Origin

A brand-new Factory New UMP-45 | Fade can be obtained by either opening one of the many Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, or Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Package containers or as a possible drop from in-game play when opening such cases. This great skin is part of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and is admired and highly popular among CS2 players due to its overall look and high esteem.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) has an average popularity, featuring a popularity of 35% within the CS2 community, which places it in the lower tier of skins. This is a metric that reflects not only the number of skins sold but also their price and volume.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) features the status of being one out of 237 SMG skins available within CS2, making it exclusive. Due to its rarity, the skin had an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, which made it highly sought after by collectors and players alike.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) has a relatively cheap price, which ranges from $70.73 to $721.26. This skin is available in lots and can be purchased through various markets. In addition, it is one of the most widespread skins in this game, since 14.1K units of the Fade are present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Fade is one of the most popular skins in CS2. The float value ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, which allows players to get this skin in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. Besides, for each exterior, collectors can also find a Souvenir version of the skin named Fade.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Fade has received great praise among CS2 enthusiasts, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars, based on 561 votes at addskins.gg. It is also very popular among pro players, including juanflatroo, cerq, and xfl0ud, who have owned this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

Factory New UMP-45 with such an impressive, insane "Anodized Airbrushed" style, really pretty with a Fade finish. The candy coat applied freehand by airbrush displays a wild transition in color, and the pattern index changes the look of the Fade a lot.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 576 (2.52%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 653 (16.22%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 816 (45.23%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1 359 (142.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.