UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 2369 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 1.84
+15.81%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 13.98
+3.71%
In a quarter
$ 16.83
+24.85%
In half a year
$ 19.89
+47.55%
In a year
$ 42.08
+212.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
78% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
16 offers on 2 markets
Updated14 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
14 offers
from $ 13.48
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 19
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning inspecting UMP-45 | Fallout Warning reloading UMP-45 | Fallout Warning holding UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-1 UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-2 UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 13.48
  • 7 days low: $ 13.48
  • 7 days high: $ 37.1
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 11.64
  • 30 days high: $ 76
  • 30 days price change: 15.81%
  • 90 days low: $ 11.64
  • 90 days high: $ 76
  • Year low: $ 6.14
  • Year high: $ 86.68
  • All time low: $ 4.63
  • All time high: $ 86.68
  • All time max offers: 24
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13
  • All time sales: 59
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 12.96
  • Volatility: 8.25%
  • Liquidity: 3.12%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 13.98
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.71%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 16.83
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 24.85%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 19.89
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 47.55%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 42.08
  • Price forecast change in a year: 212.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 10.21
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.21
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 29.48
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 19.27
188.74%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.46
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.46
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 20.97
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.51
68.30%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 13.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.12
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.3
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 13.18
100.46%
Result
👍 Success
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 26.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 26.57
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.21
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.21
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 29.48
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 19.27
188.74%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.46
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.46
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 20.97
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.51
68.30%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 13.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.12
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.3
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 13.18
100.46%
Result
👍 Success
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 26.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 26.57
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 26.59
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 14
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 14.11
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 15.82
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 13.32
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 19
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 15.94
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.71
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 37.09
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 13.48
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price
$ 36.86
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 40.96
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 62.36
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
4
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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UMP-45 | Fade
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UMP-45 | Fade
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$ 80.69
46%
From last week
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89 offers on 9 markets
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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Souvenir
UMP-45
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Field-Tested
$ 55.16
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
37 offers on 4 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is a flexible close-quarters automatic SMG, only held back by its meager magazine capacity. Radiological warning hazard patterns have been spray-painted on, giving this submachine gun a dangerous distinctive look.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning, with scars from its battles, finally joined the CS2 world on August 14th, 2013. It dropped into the player's hands with the release of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package together with the "The Arms Deal" update, which replenished CS2 with new weapons and cosmetic items.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is well-worn from battle and is an acquirement by opening one of the eight containers that hold this skin, including the Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. Also, this is included in The Nuke Collection, thus making it highly appealing to collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) has an extremely high popularity of 75%, making this skin in the higher rank in CS2. It's measured by a number of skin sales every given day and the price the skin is sold for, which correlates with its popularity.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning belongs to a large group of 237 SMG skins, placing it as less rare. Falling into the category of Industrial Grade, this skin is pretty common among players in the game; thus, not as highly valuable in general rarity.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is a relatively cheap skin in CS2 since its price ranges from $2.88 to $96.85, which allows players of different budgets to have it in their inventories. Moreover, this skin is available because it can be purchased on several markets, and right now, 19.4K units of the Fallout Warning are in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Battle-Scarred in CS2 ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which makes it possible for players to get this skin in any condition. Besides, in each exterior, a collector can also find a Souvenir version of the Fallout Warning.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning, with its battle-scarred appearance, has gained a good community sentiment, averaging 4.4 out of 5-star ratings and over 2.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity also extends to professional CS2 players such as taco, spunj, and pimp, who proudly own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This worn-out UMP-45 features a Battle-Scarred Fallout Warning finish, with a stenciled pattern hand-painted. The weapon has a predominant red tint that infuses urgency and danger into this piece, but the pattern indices do not alter the impactful Fallout Warning aesthetic.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 13.98 (3.71%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 16.83 (24.85%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 19.89 (47.55%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 42.08 (212.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.62
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players