UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

4.4 2299 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.93
+1%
Last month
$ 0.93
+1%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 86.47
-7.94%
In a quarter
$ 91.85
-2.21%
In half a year
$ 91.98
-2.08%
In a year
$ 112
+19.12%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
5 offers on 3 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
3 offers
from $ 93.93
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 119
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 262
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning inspecting UMP-45 | Fallout Warning reloading UMP-45 | Fallout Warning holding UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-1 UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-2 UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 93.93
  • 7 days low: $ 93
  • 7 days high: $ 264
  • 7 days price change: 1%
  • 30 days low: $ 93
  • 30 days high: $ 264
  • 30 days price change: 1%
  • 90 days low: $ 49.11
  • 90 days high: $ 264
  • Year low: $ 49.11
  • Year high: $ 796
  • All time low: $ 49.11
  • All time high: $ 796
  • All time max offers: 10
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7
  • All time sales: 21
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: 0.68
  • Volatility: 8.22%
  • Liquidity: 4.38%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 86.47
  • Price forecast change in a month: -7.94%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 91.85
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -2.21%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 91.98
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -2.08%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 112
  • Price forecast change in a year: 19.12%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.51
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1620 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.74
128%
From last month
329 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
24 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) is a versatile, close-quarters automatic SMG that works great at very close-range engagements but has the only drawback of a small magazine capacity. Added to this powerful weapon is a unique radiological warning hazard pattern spray-painted on its surface, adding a certain distinct and eye-catching aesthetic.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning was added to CS2 on August 14th, 2013, with "The Arms Deal" update. This gained popularity because it was part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package and had one of the choicest skin designs in post-apocalyptic fashion.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning, Factory New, can be obtained by unboxing one of the 8 containers featuring this skin, among which are Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. It is also included in The Nuke Collection, which further adds to its exclusivity and makes it highly desirable.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) holds a popularity of 75 percent within the large CS: GO community, therefore positioning it inside the top 25 percent tier of the most desired skins. This ranking was based on observing the skin sales volume and prices daily, to determine its desire and demand for it.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is part of the large collection of 237 other SMG skins in the game. However, its Industrial Grade rarity makes this a somewhat common skin, and players often see it in battles.

Availability

Availability

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning belongs to the affordable type of skins, and the price range swings between $2.88-$96.85, which brings affordability for the players with any kind of budget. Its wide availability in numerous markets allows buyers to purchase skins with ease. The skin "Fallout Warning" has a total of 19.4K units that circulate amongst the public inventory of CS2.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning in Factory New condition is between 0.06 and 0.80 which means that the skin has all externals. There is also a Souvenir version of Fallout Warning available for each exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning supports community love, having more than 2.2K votes on addskins.gg and a great average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Also, the fact that it belongs to famous professional CS2 players like taco, spunj, and pimp proves its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The "Spray-Paint" design used on this Factory New UMP-45 features the infamous Fallout Warning finish achieved by laboriously applying several coats in stencil patterns. The base color of this skin is an eye-catching red, and for all pattern indexes, the Fallout Warning finish remains the same: strikingly blunt.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 86.47 (-7.94%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 91.85 (-2.21%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 91.98 (-2.08%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 112 (19.12%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players