UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)

4.4 2377 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.69
+41.58%
Last month
$ 3.7
+67.77%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 8.54
-10.67%
In a quarter
$ 7.52
-21.34%
In half a year
$ 6.42
-32.85%
In a year
$ 3.53
-63.08%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
21% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
49 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 9.16
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 9.52
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 9.89
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 10
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
5 offers
from $ 10
Steam
Steam
27 offers
from $ 10.2
White.Market
White.Market
5 offers
from $ 11.15
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 11.21
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
5 offers
from $ 11.46
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning inspecting UMP-45 | Fallout Warning reloading UMP-45 | Fallout Warning holding UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-1 UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-2 UMP-45 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 9.16
  • 7 days low: $ 6.47
  • 7 days high: $ 12.28
  • 7 days price change: 41.58%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.46
  • 30 days high: $ 2 055 072
  • 30 days price change: 67.77%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.08
  • 90 days high: $ 2 055 072
  • Year low: $ 5.08
  • Year high: $ 2 055 072
  • All time low: $ 5.01
  • All time high: $ 2 055 072
  • All time max offers: 173
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 30
  • Sales for last 30 days: 134
  • Sales for last 90 days: 301
  • All time sales: 701
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: -2.07
  • Volatility: 16.88%
  • Liquidity: 6.95%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 8.54
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.67%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.52
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -21.34%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 6.42
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -32.85%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3.53
  • Price forecast change in a year: -63.08%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 8.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.9
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.04
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 7.12
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.78
-20.00%
Result
👎 Fail
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 5.71
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 7.2
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.9
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.23
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 7.2
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.1
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.91
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.35
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.49
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 7.04
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 7.12
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.78
-20.00%
Result
👎 Fail
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 5.71
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 7.1
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 5.68
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.2
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.49
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.94
Action
📉 Sell
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 8.72
Action
📉 Sell
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -1.78
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 8.9
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
21%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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UMP-45 | Fade
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From last month
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UMP-45 | Fade
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Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
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From last month
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From last month
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a lot going for it in terms of utility as a close-quarters automatic. The only letdown is a small magazine capacity. The paint job, being radiological warning hazard patterns that are spray-painted on its surface, further adds to its ominous aesthetic nature.

History

History

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning joined the arsenal in CS2 way back on August 14th, 2013. It appeared with the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package in the update titled "The Arms Deal," thus giving full thrust to this powerful weapon and keeping the throng of excited gamers in great expectation.

Origin

Origin

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is a battle-scarred submachine gun skin that is obtainable by opening containers such as the Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. It also belongs to the item set named The Nuke Collection and is therefore one of the more rare and collectible skins in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) has very high popularity. It is on the Top 25% of the rarity list of the CS2 skins. Such estimation is considered by its sales and market real value.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is one of 237 other SMG skins, making them a relatively large pool of choices for players. In their Industrial Grade rarity, though, that does speak to its commonality and makes it an often-seen skin within the game.

Availability

Availability

For CS: GO gamers, the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Field-Tested has a very affordable price ranging from $2.88 to $96.85, so this skin is very available since it can be found on many markets for players to include in their inventory. Furthermore, it can be easy to get the skin since 19.4K units are available in the CS2 public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning in Field-Tested condition is between 0.06 and 0.80, which means that the skin has all kinds of wear. There are also souvenir versions of the Fallout Warning skin available for both exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has gained quite some popularity in the CS2 community. The skin received a high number of votes on addskins.gg and had an excellent average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Also, famous professional players like taco, spunj, and pimp owning this skin adds more prestige and value to it.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) has the Spray-Paint style. This style includes the Fallout Warning pattern, with multiple layers of spray paint over stencil patterns. Here, the primary color is fantastic; it has an outstanding red undertone-which one can catch in the result. Fallout Warning pattern does not depend on the pattern index, so any pattern index will give a chance to get an equally awesome UMP-45 in this style.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 8.54 (-10.67%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 7.52 (-21.34%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 6.42 (-32.85%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 3.53 (-63.08%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players