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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is one of the few underappreciated SMGs in close combat; their only drawback is their considerably smaller magazine size. This skin adds a unique and ominous aesthetic, with radiological warning hazard patterns spray-painted over it.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning first appeared in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, and was one of the most wanted skins as soon as it was released. This skin appeared with the release of "The Arms Deal" update, featuring in the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, giving an essence of post-apocalyptic feel to the game.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is a Rare skin that is only available to players by opening any of the eight containers that feature the skin, or by receipt via The Nuke Collection; examples of the containers include Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. It is part of the The Nuke Collection.
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a high rating of popularity within the CS2 community - 75%, which makes this skin one of the most desirable ones. Its sales volume regularly stays high, and its market price is respected.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is one of the skins representing the 237 available SMG skins in CS2. From its Industrial Grade rarity, though, it follows that it is one of the common skins that players stumble upon in the game.
Depending on the floating value, the price of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning Minimal Wear skin can vary from as low as $2.88 to as high as $96.85. This makes the skin rather affordable for the players who want to make their weapon look nice. Secondly, the skin is relatively easy to access since it can be bought from several markets, which gives the player several choices of acquiring the skin. Moreover, there are 19.4K units available in public CS2 inventories, which increases the chances of a player finding and getting this skin.
The float value for UMP-45 | Fallout Warning in Minimal Wear ranges between 0.06 and 0.80, allowing this skin to be found in all ranges of wear. Besides, collectors have a chance of getting a Souvenir version of the Fallout Warning in each of the exterior options.
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning attracts a lot of community attention - more than 2.2K votes on addskins.gg, with an amazing average rating of 4.4 stars out of 5. This skin is also popular in the professional CS2 scene, judged by such greats as taco, spunj, and pimp, who own this skin.
This Minimal Wear UMP-45 has a very accurate "Spray-Paint" finish, with the famous Fallout Warning design. The gun has very detailed stencil patterns, which are covered in several layers of red-tinted spray paint, creating a very striking and immersive appearance. The pattern indexes do not alter the overall Fallout Warning finish, ensuring consistency across all variations of this skin.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 27.95 (-15.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 21.3 (-35.96%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 17.6 (-47.08%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 26.92 (-19.06%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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