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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth was added to CS2 on December 3rd, 2020. It was an exciting part of the Operation Broken Fang Case, and this great skin was designed by the very talented community designer G-99Factory. After its release, it gained popularity among players who wanted to add just a touch of class and sophistication to their armory.
The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth is one of the well-sought skins, and it can only be obtained by opening an Operation Broken Fang Case container in order to give players the chance to wield this exquisite design into their arsenal. The skin belongs to The Operation Broken Fang Collection and is highly valued for being very rare and one of the most demanded skins among collectors and competitive players.
The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) enjoys a high level of popularity, ranking within the top 15% of the most sought-after items in CS2. This popularity is determined by analyzing its daily sales volume and market price, showcasing its desirability among players.
The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth is a relatively rare skin in CS2, having 237 other SMG skins. This skin belongs to the Restricted rarity class, making it a pretty rare drop - the drop chance is about 15.98%.
UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) skin is an extraordinary bargain, the price of which ranges from $1.49-$7.89. That is why everyone can buy such a highly popular skin since it has overflowed the current market. Today, 292.7K units of such a skin are located in public CS2 inventories.
The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth is available in all exteriors, and the float values range from 0.00 to 0.70. Also, it has a StatTrak variant for each exterior option, meaning players will be able to track their kills by equipping this particular skin.
The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth is highly sought after in the CS2 community, receiving an astonishing 4.7 out of 5-star rating from over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. As further proof, this skin has been in the inventory of such great professional players as kennys, spiidi, and stewie2k.
Factory New This UMP-45 has a custom finish from "Gunsmith" style; this, featuring an attractive gold inlaid bismuth gives off feelings of much taste and maturity. Patina perfectly mingles here with special forms of paints for a fresh appealingly dissimilar look and a pattern indexes can't worsen this wonderful finish in pure gold bismuth, thus is always super viewable.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 15.81 (-5.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 14.44 (-13.38%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 18.76 (12.54%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 39.56 (137.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.