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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) is the underdog workhorse of the SMG category, offering great close-quarters combat capabilities due to its reliable automatic fire. Its unique hydrographic design, resembling a gel pen doodle, adds a touch of playful creativity to its sleek and deadly appearance.
The UMP-45 | Gunsmoke first appeared on the virtual battlefields of CS2 on November 27th, 2013, impressing the players with its sleek and menacing design. This iconic weapon was introduced as part of the highly anticipated "Out with the old, in with the new" update, marking a significant shift in the game's meta and weapon balance.
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) is among the rarer skins. One can get it by opening the container of the DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. That is the reason for such popularity. It is included in the Italy Collection, which boosts its popularity with collectors and players.
The UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) is highly demanded by the CS2 community, which explains the popularity rating of 85%. For that reason, it occupies one of the leading top 15% positions in the game, considering its in-game sales volume and price.
The UMP-45 | Gunsmoke is one of 237 other skins in CS2 within the SMG class, which makes this skin quite abundant on the market. The skin Gunsmoke features an Industrial Grade rarity, and this skin is pretty common within the game and often found in the hands of many players.
The UMP-45 | Gunsmoke Factory New is an extremely cheap skin, adding its price starts at $0.04 and tops at $34.67, so it is pretty affordable to most players. Besides, this skin is highly available because it is widely offered on different markets and now there are 1.9 mln units of the Gunsmoke in public CS2 inventories.
The float value for UMP-45 | Gunsmoke, Factory New condition, ranges between 0.06 and 0.80, meaning one can get this skin in all kinds of exterior quality. What is more, for every of the mentioned and other exterior a collector can manage to find its souvenir version Gunsmoke skin.
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) got over 6K community votes and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. The fact that this skin was used by professional CS2 players like aizy, rubino, and adren adds to the popularity of this skin in the community.
Third-person weapon model of UMP-45 published in the Shadow Case.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.71 (-8.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.76 (-2.56%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.06 (35.9%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.37 (204.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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