UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)

4.3 134 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.06
+31.07%
Last month
$ 3.67
+73.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.58
-37.23%
In a quarter
$ 8.69
-2.25%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
65% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
644 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
42 offers
from $ 8.69
Lis-skins
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119 offers
from $ 8.7
White.Market
White.Market
167 offers
from $ 8.84
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
14 offers
from $ 8.95
Bitskins
Bitskins
15 offers
from $ 8.99
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
47 offers
from $ 9.14
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
53 offers
from $ 9.19
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
19 offers
from $ 9.24
Steam
Steam
140 offers
from $ 11
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
28 offers
from $ 16.09
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory inspecting UMP-45 | K.O. Factory reloading UMP-45 | K.O. Factory holding UMP-45 | K.O. Factory pose-1 UMP-45 | K.O. Factory pose-2 UMP-45 | K.O. Factory pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.69
  • 24h price change: 14.8%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.63
  • 7 days high: $ 40.48
  • 7 days price change: 31.07%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.02
  • 30 days high: $ 141
  • 30 days price change: 73.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.95
  • 90 days high: $ 141
  • Year low: $ 4.95
  • Year high: $ 1 500
  • All time low: $ 4.95
  • All time high: $ 1 500
  • All time max offers: 1585
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 179
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1552
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6288
  • Sales for last 90 days: 18622
  • All time sales: 51741
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1819
  • Volatility: 9.69%
  • Liquidity: 46.9%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.58
  • Price forecast change in a month: -37.23%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 8.69
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -2.25%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 8.38
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.2
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.2
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.81
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.61
9.84%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.08
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.38
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.01
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.08
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.59
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.11
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.2
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.2
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.27
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.95
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.43
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.81
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.61
9.84%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.08
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.77
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 6.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.58
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.61
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 6.2
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
65%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Minimal Wear

Description

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory in Minimal Wear condition offers a reliable and versatile option for close-quarters combat, with its only downside being its limited magazine capacity. Its custom paint job draws inspiration from classic animation cartoons, adding a unique and eye-catching aesthetic to this powerful SMG.

History

History

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory made its debut in CS2 on August 15th, 2023, as part of the Operation Firestorm update. This skin was crafted by the renowned community artist known as "Graffix."

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory skin in Minimal Wear condition can be acquired by unboxing a Spectrum Case. It is a part of the Spectrum Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory in Minimal Wear condition enjoys a high popularity rating of 95%, indicating its strong appeal among CS2 players. This rating is determined by factors such as its demand in the market and its consistent pricing trends, solidifying its status as a sought-after skin in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory is part of a limited selection of SMG skins, with only 278 others in its category. Classified as a rare skin, the K.O. Factory has an estimated drop chance of just 3.2%, making it a highly sought-after and scarce item in CS2.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $4.50 and $55.00, the UMP-45 | K.O. Factory in Minimal Wear condition offers a reasonable investment option for CS2 players. Its availability is abundant across various online marketplaces, making it easily accessible for purchase.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory in Minimal Wear condition features a clean and well-maintained appearance with minimal wear marks, enhancing its overall aesthetic appeal. This skin is highly sought after by players due to its sleek design and the fact that it is available in all exterior conditions, including StatTrak versions.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory has garnered widespread approval within the CS2 community, with a significant number of positive reviews and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars on various trading platforms. This skin has also caught the attention of renowned CS2 players such as s1mple, device, and coldzera, who have added it to their collections.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) showcases a sleek and modern design with a metallic finish. The skin features a blend of silver and black hues that give it a futuristic and industrial look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 5.58 (-37.23%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 8.69 (-2.25%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players