UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn)

4.3 134 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.61
+61.45%
Last month
$ 1.98
+88%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.78
-59.64%
In a quarter
$ 3.09
-29.93%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
452 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory inspecting UMP-45 | K.O. Factory reloading UMP-45 | K.O. Factory holding UMP-45 | K.O. Factory pose-1 UMP-45 | K.O. Factory pose-2 UMP-45 | K.O. Factory pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.23
  • 24h price change: 16.85%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.62
  • 7 days high: $ 17.94
  • 7 days price change: 61.45%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.25
  • 30 days high: $ 123
  • 30 days price change: 88%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.76
  • 90 days high: $ 123
  • Year low: $ 1.76
  • Year high: $ 729
  • All time low: $ 1.76
  • All time high: $ 729
  • All time max offers: 2743
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 214
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2006
  • Sales for last 30 days: 8728
  • Sales for last 90 days: 19584
  • All time sales: 52214
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1401
  • Volatility: 15.47%
  • Liquidity: 25.55%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.78
  • Price forecast change in a month: -59.64%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.09
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -29.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.3
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.93
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.07
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.23
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.26
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.33
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.3
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.59
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.93
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.89
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.27
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.27
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.15
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 2.27
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2.47
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 2.07
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.23
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.26
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.33
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.8
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.7
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.93
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Minimal Wear

Description

The UMP-45 stands out as a versatile choice for close-quarters combat, with its only drawback being the small magazine capacity. The custom paint job on this Well-Worn skin takes inspiration from classic animation cartoons, adding a playful touch to this deadly weapon.

History

History

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory made its debut in CS2 on July 15th, 2023, as part of the Operation: Urban Warfare update. This skin was designed by the community artist known as "Tagger".

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory skin originates from the CS:GO Operation Phoenix Weapon Case. This skin is classified as a consumer-grade skin and is known for its well-worn condition, giving it a distinct battle-worn appearance.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn) boasts a staggering popularity rating of 99% in CS2, solidifying its status as one of the most sought-after skins in the game. This high demand is reflected in its daily sales volume and pricing dynamics, making it a highly coveted item among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory is among a limited pool of 278 SMG skins in CS2. Classified as a rare drop, the K.O. Factory skin is highly sought after, with an approximate drop rate of just 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $2.87 and $36.77, the UMP-45 | K.O. Factory in Well-Worn condition offers an affordable option for CS:GO players. This skin is readily accessible across various marketplaces, making it easy for players to acquire it for their collection.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory in Well-Worn condition has a float value that falls within the 0.38 to 0.45 range, giving it a worn look with noticeable wear and tear. This skin is available in both regular and StatTrak versions, allowing players to track their kills with this battle-worn UMP-45.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory has garnered significant community approval with a total of 134 votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.3 out of 5 stars. This skin has also found favor among professional CS2 players such as kennys, taz, and nbk-, further solidifying its popularity and desirability within the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn) features a weathered appearance with a "K.O. Factory" finish. The worn texture and industrial look give this skin a rugged and battle-worn aesthetic.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 1.78 (-59.64%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.09 (-29.93%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players