UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 1613 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.24
+29.18%
Last month
$ 1.24
+29.18%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.4
-1.64%
In a quarter
$ 5.37
-2.19%
In half a year
$ 5.91
+7.65%
In a year
$ 10.72
+95.26%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
12 offers on 3 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
9 offers
from $ 5.49
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 41.62
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 133
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Mechanism inspecting UMP-45 | Mechanism reloading UMP-45 | Mechanism holding UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-1 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-2 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 5.49
  • 7 days low: $ 4.25
  • 7 days high: $ 133
  • 7 days price change: 29.18%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.25
  • 30 days high: $ 133
  • 30 days price change: 29.18%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.25
  • 90 days high: $ 135
  • Year low: $ 3
  • Year high: $ 282
  • All time low: $ 3
  • All time high: $ 444
  • All time max offers: 23
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 9
  • Sales for last 90 days: 17
  • All time sales: 37
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 5.03
  • Volatility: 7.86%
  • Liquidity: 2.47%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.4
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.64%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.37
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -2.19%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 5.91
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 7.65%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 10.72
  • Price forecast change in a year: 95.26%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.16
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.35
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.16
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.74
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.35
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.71
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.75
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 5.7
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 5.95
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.8
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.58
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.43
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.61
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 5.49
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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UMP-45 | Fade
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UMP-45 | Fade
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Souvenir
UMP-45
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Minimal Wear
$ 80.69
46%
From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
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Field-Tested
$ 55.16
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
37 offers on 4 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Mechanism has been highly underestimated by many, mainly because of its small magazine capacity, but it makes up for that in adaptability at close combat. This battle-scarred skin has an anodized pattern of intricate engine components, which adds a bit of ruggedness to its already rugged design.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Mechanism first visited the virtual battlegrounds of CS2 back on September 21st, 2021, impressing players with the sleek design mixed with formidable firepower. This much-desired piece was available by the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package-much in conjunction with the highly speculated "Operation Riptide" update and another unforgettable moment for the game, which is developing without showing retrogression.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) skin pulls when opening one of the four containers that contain it, including the Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, or The 2021 Vertigo Collection. Its worn and battle-scarred texture adds a level of realism in its wear, reflecting the amount of battles that this weapon might have gone through on the virtual battlefield.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) holds an extremely high popularity of 75% within the CS2 community, placing it within the elite top 25% of the most popular items in the game due to its continuously high sales volume and desirable price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) has a total of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. The skin belongs to the Industrial Grade rarity, so it is not that hard to find in-game.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) is an extremely affordable CS2 skin that costs from $0.07 to $1.82. It's available rather easily due to purchase options via various markets, which makes it widely used in the game. Currently, there are 94.4K units of the Mechanism skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Battle-Scarred version of the UMP-45 | Mechanism in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, which includes considerable wear and tear. Heavy scratches and dents are marking this particular skin. Also, each exterior of this skin has a corresponding Souvenir version to give some sense of collectibility to the Mechanism.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) has a favorable view in the community, as it has 4.4 out of 5 stars at addskins.gg for over 1.6K votes. The popularity of this skin could also be witnessed by the ownership of this skin by such pro CS2 players as flusha and el1an.

Finish style

Finish style

This Battle-Scarred UMP-45 features a Mechanism finish that is achieved with a candy coat applied by careful freehand airbrushing. This skin presents some sleek, industrial tones-the predominant gray-and adds some variety with the pattern index to the general look of the Mechanism finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 5.4 (-1.64%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 5.37 (-2.19%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 5.91 (7.65%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 10.72 (95.26%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.47
Max: 0.49
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players