UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested)

4.4 1697 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.95
+31.77%
Last month
$ 1.11
+39.22%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.31
-15.99%
In a quarter
$ 3.25
-17.51%
In half a year
$ 3.43
-12.94%
In a year
$ 3.5
-11.17%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
45 offers on 7 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 3.94
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 4.26
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 4.26
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 4.26
Steam
Steam
26 offers
from $ 4.32
Skinport
Skinport
10 offers
from $ 4.94
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 9.8
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Mechanism inspecting UMP-45 | Mechanism reloading UMP-45 | Mechanism holding UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-1 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-2 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.94
  • 24h price change: 8.54%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.99
  • 7 days high: $ 70.85
  • 7 days price change: 31.77%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.83
  • 30 days high: $ 71.38
  • 30 days price change: 39.22%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.27
  • 90 days high: $ 71.74
  • Year low: $ 2.22
  • Year high: $ 71.74
  • All time low: $ 1.86
  • All time high: $ 71.74
  • All time max offers: 156
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 40
  • Sales for last 30 days: 99
  • Sales for last 90 days: 240
  • All time sales: 648
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2527
  • Volatility: 24.71%
  • Liquidity: 9.65%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.31
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.99%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.25
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -17.51%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3.43
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -12.94%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3.5
  • Price forecast change in a year: -11.17%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.2
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.2
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.57
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.63
-19.69%
Result
👎 Fail
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.76
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 3.2
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.2
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.98
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.84
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.69
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.61
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.57
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.63
-19.69%
Result
👎 Fail
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.76
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 3.07
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 3.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 3.07
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 3.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.7
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.94
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.6
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.63
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.2
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
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UMP-45 | Fade
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$ 52.27
128%
From last month
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In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Mechanism is the underdog of all SMGs, possessing great close-range combat but being let down by the default magazine capacity. The anodized design of this skin shows a pattern of intricate engine components that may not be to everyone's taste but for sure calls for attention and adds an extra touch to this gun.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Mechanism first touched the grounds of CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and since then, it had been in the eyes of many players due to its slick design and steady performance. It came as a rare drop in the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package along with the highly anticipated "Operation Riptide" update that swept the game off its feet.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) can be obtained by opening any of the following four containers in which it is available: the Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, or The 2021 Vertigo Collection. The slick design combined with mechanical motifs makes it highly demanded among players who want to give their arsenal an air of class.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Mechanism Field-Tested is a very popular skin in CS2, with an average popularity rating of 75%. This puts it among the most wanted skins in the game, as it is ranked by both its daily sales volume and its price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Mechanism is one of 237 available SMG skins, making it rather common for players to come across. The Mechanism holds an Industrial Grade rarity, not rare but unique enough to be a part of any player's loadout.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Mechanism FT is one of the more budget ways to get this skin in CS2, and it's $0.07-$1.82. This skin falls in line with the most available ones since it drops pretty often, and now the Mechanism is available in 94.4K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Field-Tested version of the UMP-45 | Mechanism is within the float value range of 0.00 - 0.49, making this skin available in all wear levels. Additionally, a Souvenir version is available in each wear level for the Mechanism.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

More than 1.6K votes and an average rating of 4.4/5 stars in CS: GO UMP-45 | Mechanism Field-Tested from the community support its presence at addskins.gg. Just like the game as a whole, this gun pops up on a professional scale-the famous flusha and el1an keep it in their arsenals.

Finish style

Finish style

This Field-Tested UMP-45 features a "Mechanism" finish that makes it look similar to applying candy coat with meticulous freehand airbrushing, while the mostly gray color on this skin offers depth and change in its simplistic pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 3.31 (-15.99%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.25 (-17.51%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.43 (-12.94%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 3.5 (-11.17%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.49
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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