UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn)

4.4 1672 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.74
+51.79%
Last month
$ 1.74
+51.79%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.15
+4.97%
In a quarter
$ 5.26
+33.18%
In half a year
$ 5.92
+49.98%
In a year
$ 9.21
+133.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
8 offers on 2 markets
Updated18 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
7 offers
from $ 5.1
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 35.4
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Mechanism inspecting UMP-45 | Mechanism reloading UMP-45 | Mechanism holding UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-1 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-2 UMP-45 | Mechanism pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 5.1
  • 24h price change: 29.44%
  • 7 days low: $ 3.36
  • 7 days high: $ 35.87
  • 7 days price change: 51.79%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.36
  • 30 days high: $ 36.78
  • 30 days price change: 51.79%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.36
  • 90 days high: $ 36.78
  • Year low: $ 3.01
  • Year high: $ 1 201
  • All time low: $ 1.91
  • All time high: $ 2 111
  • All time max offers: 30
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 5
  • Sales for last 30 days: 11
  • Sales for last 90 days: 26
  • All time sales: 64
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: 4.33
  • Volatility: 18.27%
  • Liquidity: 4.43%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.15
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.97%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.26
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 33.18%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 5.92
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 49.98%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 9.21
  • Price forecast change in a year: 133.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 9.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.78
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.78
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.78
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.19
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 7.56
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.39
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.39
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.82
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.19
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.19
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.63
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 4.95
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 4.73
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 4.35
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.4
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.07
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 3.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 35.46
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 3.95
Action
🔥 Buy
November 8, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 9.78
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
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From last month
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UMP-45 | Fade
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128%
From last month
294 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is a very underrated submachine gun, doing great in very close combat situations, which happens to be its only disadvantage-magazine capacity. The anodized pattern resembles the parts of engines and gives an industrial touch to its look, though it's a matter of taste.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Mechanism appeared for the first time in the virtual fields of CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and won the hearts of players with its brutal look and dependable firepower. This highly demanded weapon showed up with the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, an exciting addition that came along with the highly anticipated "Operation Riptide" update.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) can be received via one of its four containers, either the Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, or The 2021 Vertigo Collection. A Well-Worn variant gives an added realistic aspect to the firearm because of the wear and tear marks, which depict the result of heavy combats; therefore, it is really in demand by collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) features high popularity and is currently in the top 25% of the rarity of all skins in CS2. The Skin popularity of the skin, based on sales in the last week, price, and skin popularity, is rated at 75%.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is included in the 237 SMG skins in CS2. Industrial Grade skin falls into the very common category; hence, these skins are not that hard to get in the game.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is an extremely cheap skin these days. Its price varies between $0.07 and $1.82. It follows that the skin is highly available and can be freely bought from any of the existing markets. Indeed, by the moment, there are already 94.4K units of the Mechanism skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.49, which means this worn-out skin is available in all exteriors, showing its battle-hardened appearance. Moreover, in each exterior, collectors can also find a Souvenir version of the Mechanism, adding a touch of nostalgia and uniqueness to their collection.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This is one of those skins that is highly supported within the community. With over 1.6K votes and an average rating of 4.4/5 stars, the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is pretty popular among addskins.gg visitors. Its popularity extends to professional CS2, too, as two of the most popular players, flusha and el1an, are proud owners of this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This worn-out UMP-45 features the Mechanism finish, inspired by applying a candy coat using a freehand airbrush technique. The gray overtones that dominate this skin create an industrial look that is sleek and fresh. The pattern index adds a nice touch to the overall appearance of the Mechanism finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Mechanism (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 4.15 (4.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 5.26 (33.18%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 5.92 (49.98%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 9.21 (133.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.49
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players