UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)

5.0 2749 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.25
+12.25%
Last month
$ 0.8
+53.69%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.12
-15.54%
In a quarter
$ 2.01
-19.92%
In half a year
$ 2.41
-3.98%
In a year
$ 3.85
+53.39%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
73% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
599 offers on 11 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
78 offers
from $ 2.29
White.Market
White.Market
164 offers
from $ 2.31
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
20 offers
from $ 2.31
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
6 offers
from $ 2.59
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
13 offers
from $ 2.64
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
100 offers
from $ 2.64
Skinport
Skinport
84 offers
from $ 2.83
Bitskins
Bitskins
6 offers
from $ 2.93
Steam
Steam
126 offers
from $ 3.3
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 11
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 16
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Moonrise inspecting UMP-45 | Moonrise reloading UMP-45 | Moonrise holding UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-1 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-2 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.29
  • 7 days low: $ 2.04
  • 7 days high: $ 430
  • 7 days price change: 12.25%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.49
  • 30 days high: $ 430
  • 30 days price change: 53.69%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.44
  • 90 days high: $ 430
  • Year low: $ 1.06
  • Year high: $ 430
  • All time low: $ 0.71
  • All time high: $ 5 000
  • All time max offers: 705
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 62
  • Sales for last 7 days: 710
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2687
  • Sales for last 90 days: 5594
  • All time sales: 15868
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.35
  • Volatility: 11.52%
  • Liquidity: 10.86%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.12
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.54%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.01
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -19.92%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2.41
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -3.98%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3.85
  • Price forecast change in a year: 53.39%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.07
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.07
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
28.04%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.45
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.07
73.79%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.81
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.81
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.07
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.07
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
28.04%
Result
👍 Success
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.62
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.95
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.45
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.97
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.07
73.79%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.81
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.81
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.37
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4.33
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
73%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.55
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1629 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
294 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
89 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
26 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Moonrise is such a well-rounded submachine gun that has the singular drawback: poor magazine capacity. This is quite an eccentric design, though; it transfers players through busy city scenery up front to tranquil night skies full of a just-fulfilling, shiny moon and purples and reds-a backdrop in which anyone would like navigating its twists and turns with that guiding light known as the North Star.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Moonrise was added to the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on March 13th, 2019, and was part of the Prisma Case. Factory New skin designed by the talented community artist MGBazz soon found a place in collectors' and players' inventory.

Origin

Origin

This skin, UMP-45 | Moonrise, is a Factory New finish and belongs to the Prisma Case container, which has a special collection of skins in CS2. It is also part of the rare Prisma Collection and serves as a moonlit masterpiece to take with players into battle.

Popularity

Popularity

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) is very well-liked; its popularity rating reaches 90%. Its popularity could be explained by its magnificent outlook and real rarity, which altogether make this skin one of the most popular among CS2 players. Such demand is underlined by a good volume of sales and its relatively high market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Moonrise is one of 237 SMG skins, which instantly shows how rare this skin is. This skin belongs to the Restricted rarity category and is considered highly wanted; it has an estimated drop chance of 15.98% in CS2.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Moonrise skin, Factory New for CS2, takes between $0.21 to $2.24. Currently, plenty can be found throughout many different markets, offering one of the easiest options-just buy it in. For confirmation of its overall popularity, CS2 currently features 705.4K units of this very skin publically inventoried.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the UMP-45 | Moonrise ranges from 0.00 to 0.40, making it possible to get this skin in pristine condition and in slightly worn states, such as Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, and Well-Worn. Moreover, a StatTrak variant of the Moonrise skin is available in each of the mentioned exteriors for collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars based on over 2.7K votes on addskins.gg. This skin is also popular among well-known professional players like s1mple and dupreeh.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New UMP-45 | Moonrise has a beautiful "Anodized Airbrushed" finish, which gives a candy coat applied with freehand airbrushing art. The dominant purple tint of the main color and the mesmerizing change of the Moonrise design, depending on its pattern index, add uniqueness to every single skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2.12 (-15.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.01 (-19.92%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.41 (-3.98%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3.85 (53.39%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.4
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players