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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise Field-Tested seems to be the underdog in the SMG world, as it works well when at close combat but is a bit lacking in magazine capacity. This design in itself is quite interesting since the foreground view presents a dynamic city, while the night sky is purple-red, with a bright full moon highlighted and the North Star guiding almost magically.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise was added to the CS2 community on March 13th, 2019, when it was released in the Prisma Case as part of the "Seeing the Light" update. Designed by the talented community designer MGBazz, this skin quickly gained popularity for its stunning moonlit design and realistic detailing.
UMP-45 | Moonrise is one of the most wanted CS2 skins and has a design inspired by the night-time beauty of the moon. Players can get this skin from an opened Prisma Case container-a chance to include this striking look in their collection.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise is popular within the CS2 community and has about 90% popularity among other skins. It is evaluated from its impressive volume of sales that happen within a day and from the skin market value.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise is one of 237 other SMG skins, making it a relatively uncommon find in CS2. With a Restricted rarity, it is considered a rare drop with an estimated chance of being obtained at 15.98%.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) skin costs in a range of $0.21-$2.24, which is a pretty cheap price. Because of this, it's relatively easy to get this skin in your collection from various marketplaces, and players have plenty of chances to do so. Currently, about 705.4K units of the Moonrise skin have been found in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Moonrise ranges from a fresh 0.00 to a well-worn 0.40, thus giving collectors a great opportunity to get this skin in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, and Well-Worn conditions. Furthermore, enthusiasts will be able to find a StatTrak variant available for each exterior quality of Moonrise.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise is one of the most praised designs in the CS2 community, as evidenced by its 2.7K+ votes at addskins.gg, ensuring a perfect 5.0/5-star rating. Its status is further cemented by the fact that this skin is owned by the two most famous professional players: s1mple and dupreeh, which underlines its desirability and appeal to competitive gameplay.
UMP-45 | Moonrise is one of those amazing skins field-tested, wearing the "Anodized Airbrushed" pattern. Moonrise is one variation that makes up the appearance similar to how one would apply a candy coat over the model in freehand airbrush. With its overwhelming purplish tone, the appealing skin draws inspiration from it; the pattern index adds another hint to its style.
According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.371 (-34.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.355 (-37.77%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.392 (-31.32%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.429 (-24.75%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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