UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn)

5.0 2882 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.02
+2.9%
Last month
$ 0.26
+57.78%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.74
+4.23%
In a quarter
$ 0.67
-5.63%
In half a year
$ 0.77
+8.45%
In a year
$ 1.05
+47.89%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
89% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
68 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Skinport
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from $ 0.82
Bitskins
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2 offers
from $ 0.85
White.Market
White.Market
8 offers
from $ 1.06
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 1.09
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
18 offers
from $ 1.13
Steam
Steam
16 offers
from $ 1.3
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 1.32
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Moonrise inspecting UMP-45 | Moonrise reloading UMP-45 | Moonrise holding UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-1 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-2 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.71
  • 24h price change: 2.9%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.69
  • 7 days high: $ 10.06
  • 7 days price change: 2.9%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.45
  • 30 days high: $ 10.14
  • 30 days price change: 57.78%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.39
  • 90 days high: $ 10.21
  • Year low: $ 0.39
  • Year high: $ 27.43
  • All time low: $ 0.35
  • All time high: $ 27.43
  • All time max offers: 259
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 16
  • Sales for last 7 days: 119
  • Sales for last 30 days: 403
  • Sales for last 90 days: 796
  • All time sales: 2319
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1666
  • Volatility: 18.73%
  • Liquidity: 6.38%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.74
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.23%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.67
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -5.63%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.77
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 8.45%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.05
  • Price forecast change in a year: 47.89%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.56
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.56
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.29
51.79%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.56
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.491
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.48
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.8
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.8
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.47
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.47
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.29
51.79%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.29
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.56
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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46%
From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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$ 55.14
42%
From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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From last month
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Description

The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) is extremely versatile for an SMG but has the Achilles' heel of only a small magazine capacity. This design depicts a cool cityscape merging into a dazzling night sky at full moon, with the North Star as a guiding light.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Moonrise was added to CS2 on March 13th, 2019, with the Prisma Case. The skin represents one interesting design developed by talented community designer MGBazz. Since the creation, he drew much attention to his work in a flash due to the intricacy of this design. Its beauty comes in delicate, moon-patterned grooves with well-worn looks.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Moonrise, having a well-worn appearance, can be acquired by unlocking a Prisma Case container, giving players the chance to add this skin to their arsenal. It is also included in The Prisma Collection, which is a diverse assortment of visually appealing weapon finishes that players can collect and showcase in-game.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Moonrise, Well-Worn, has risen to fame, and its rating among CS2 players at the moment amounts to 90%. Due to its high demand and wide circulation, it managed to take the place in a few of the most popular in-game skins and regularly hit sales with a more-than-average price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) is a skin from 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin falls under the category of Restricted, and thus it's relatively rare; the drop chance of it is estimated at 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) skin is affordable for many players, with its price oscillating from $0.21 to $2.24 depending on its condition. It is widely available in various markets today, and has units of about 705.4K in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Moonrise - This skin is in a well-worn state and has a float value of 0.37-0.45, which means it is little worn with quite a number of scratches and wear marks. And, there is also the StatTrak version of this Moonrise well-worn skin that allows tracking of kills within this striking skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) amazes the CS2 community. This skin boasts an impressive rate of 5.0 out of 5 stars, considering more than 2.7K votes at addskins.gg. Its status is even more polished by the ownership of this weapon by such great professional players as s1mple and dupreeh, which makes the skin even more desirable for the players.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) features a "Anodized Airbrushed" finish, carefully applied in a pattern resembling the colorful, swirly appearance of hand-painted candy coating. A dominant purple hue engulfs the skin, while the pattern index softly influences the overall appearance of the Moonrise finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 0.74 (4.23%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.67 (-5.63%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.77 (8.45%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.05 (47.89%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.39
Max: 0.4
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players