UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New)

4.7 5558 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.062
+41.33%
Last month
$ 0.112
+112%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.166
-24.5%
In a quarter
$ 0.11
-49.82%
In half a year
$ 0.123
-44.09%
In a year
$ 0.233
+5.73%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
74% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
364 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
12 offers
from $ 0.212
White.Market
White.Market
51 offers
from $ 0.22
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
28 offers
from $ 0.23
Bitskins
Bitskins
6 offers
from $ 0.24
Skinport
Skinport
51 offers
from $ 0.32
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
8 offers
from $ 0.32
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
12 offers
from $ 0.323
Steam
Steam
196 offers
from $ 0.37
Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Mudder inspecting UMP-45 | Mudder reloading UMP-45 | Mudder holding UMP-45 | Mudder pose-1 UMP-45 | Mudder pose-2 UMP-45 | Mudder pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.212
  • 24h price change: 17.78%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.15
  • 7 days high: $ 19.91
  • 7 days price change: 41.33%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.1
  • 30 days high: $ 36.78
  • 30 days price change: 112%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.05
  • 90 days high: $ 36.78
  • Year low: $ 0.007
  • Year high: $ 38.35
  • All time low: $ 0.007
  • All time high: $ 38.35
  • All time max offers: 768
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 81
  • Sales for last 7 days: 672
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2539
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6540
  • All time sales: 17011
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.98
  • Volatility: 20.6%
  • Liquidity: 7.93%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.166
  • Price forecast change in a month: -24.5%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.11
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -49.82%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.123
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -44.09%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.233
  • Price forecast change in a year: 5.73%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.05
100.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.05
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.05
100.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.2
Action
📉 Sell
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.05
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.05
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
74%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.61
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1630 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
313 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
81 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
28 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.16
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Mudder is a bit of an underappreciated powerhouse in the arsenal of SMGs, held back from complete close-quarters dominance due to the magazine capacity alone. This skin sports a gorgeous marbleized pattern added to class up this otherwise frightening gun.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Mudder was released on September 3rd, 2018, along with the other skins in the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. This skin came out along with the release of the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update and gave the UMP-45 a bit of style and an exclusive look.

Origin

Origin

The Factory New UMP-45 | Mudder can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that have this skin, namely, the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. Also, it is part of The 2018 Inferno Collection, which increases its availability even more.

Popularity

Popularity

UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins in the CS2 community. The skin holds a popularity of 75%. Thus, this makes it into the top 25% of most desired skins as its day-to-day sales volume and price have great appeal.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Mudder is one of 237 other SMG skins, making it relatively common in the CS2 community. As a Consumer Grade item, it is frequently encountered in the game, with many players having the opportunity to acquire and use it.

Availability

Availability

UMP-45 | Mudder Factory New skin of CS2 is pretty cheap, from $0.01 to $0.66. It's really easy to buy this skin since it's quite common. There are plenty of places where one can buy it. Currently, it holds around 4.2 m units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Factory New UMP-45 | Mudder has all the exterior options available in it, including float values between 0.06 and 0.80, so one is spoiled for choice. For collectors, souvenir versions of Mudder are available in each of the exterior skins, adding value to the skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Mudder has achieved great popularity in the community as it received over 5.4K votes on addskins.gg, had an average of 4.7/5-star ratings in the same web page. This gun skin equally stole the love of professional players in CS2 as famous players like fallen, kennys, and fnx are also owners of this very skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The Mudder finish on this UMP-45 features a disassembled weapon theme, where parts of the gun float through a hydrographic film and attach to the surface. The general gray color gives it a sleek, stealthy feel while the pattern index will influence the way the finish looks.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Mudder (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.166 (-24.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.11 (-49.82%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.123 (-44.09%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.233 (5.73%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players