UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)

4.5 422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.19
+35.75%
Last month
$ 5.22
+48.83%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 10.15
-36.24%
In a quarter
$ 31.64
+98.74%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
72% - Forecast accuracy
72% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
402 offers on 10 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir inspecting UMP-45 | Neo-Noir reloading UMP-45 | Neo-Noir holding UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-1 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-2 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 15.91
  • 24h price change: 1.73%
  • 7 days low: $ 11.72
  • 7 days high: $ 117
  • 7 days price change: 35.75%
  • 30 days low: $ 10.69
  • 30 days high: $ 235
  • 30 days price change: 48.83%
  • 90 days low: $ 9.12
  • 90 days high: $ 235
  • Year low: $ 7.57
  • Year high: $ 2 283
  • All time low: $ 7.57
  • All time high: $ 2 283
  • All time max offers: 512
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 57
  • Sales for last 7 days: 381
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1692
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4326
  • All time sales: 10569
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 1.39
  • Volatility: 13.65%
  • Liquidity: 34.02%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 10.15
  • Price forecast change in a month: -36.24%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 31.64
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 98.74%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 10.03
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.23
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 10.03
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.47
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.08
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.51
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 9.27
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.26
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 9.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 9.48
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 12.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.23
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 15.3
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 12.64
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 16.5
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 20
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 14.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 17.82
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 12.23
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
72%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition offers a versatile and reliable option for close-quarter combat, with its only limitation being its smaller magazine capacity. This skin features a custom paint job depicting a stylized blue-magenta woman holding a blade on a grayscale background, adding a touch of artistic flair to this deadly SMG.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir made its debut in CS2 on October 2nd, 2024, as part of the Gallery Case during "The Armory" update. The skin was crafted by the talented community designer known as "Blazer" and has since become a sought-after choice for players seeking a battle-scarred aesthetic.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition is a skin that can be acquired through unboxing the Gallery Case container in CS2. This sleek and stylish design is a part of The Gallery Collection, offering a modern and minimalist aesthetic for players to enjoy in-game.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition is highly sought after, boasting a popularity rating of 95% in the CS2 community. Its desirability is evident through its high daily sales volume and consistently high price on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir is among a pool of 278 different SMG skins available in CS2. Classified as a rare skin, the Neo-Noir is a highly sought-after drop with an approximate drop rate of just 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $12.00 and $40.00, the UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition offers a mid-range option for players. This skin is readily accessible across various online platforms, ensuring easy acquisition for those looking to add it to their CS:GO inventory.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition showcases a sleek black and white design with intricate patterns and neon accents, making it a popular choice among CS:GO players. With a float value between 0.07 to 0.15, this skin maintains its visual appeal while offering a slightly worn look that adds character to the weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition has garnered more than 300 reviews on popular CS2 skin trading platforms, boasting an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. This skin is highly sought after by both casual players and professional CS2 enthusiasts, with notable owners including top players like s1mple, XANTARES, and device.

Finish style

Finish style

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) features a sleek and modern "Neo-Noir" finish, characterized by its intricate design elements and high-quality paint application. The skin showcases a striking color palette of purple and pink, creating a visually appealing and unique look that stands out in the CS2 model.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 10.15 (-36.24%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 31.64 (98.74%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players